F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?

Decided by

The market resolves Yes if Carlos Sainz is classified ahead of Fernando Alonso in the final official 2026 FIA Formula One World Drivers' Championship standings.§1

Season cancelled or late

If the 2026 season is cancelled or postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no final classification is published by then, the market resolves 50-50.§5

Drivers not ranked

If the final classification does not rank both drivers, the market resolves 50-50.§6

Tiebreakers and penalties

The final standings include any tiebreakers under FIA rules and any penalties or adjustments reflected in that final classification.§3

Starts and finishes

Both drivers are ranked per that classification regardless of how many races either driver starts or completes.§4

Counted

The final official 2026 FIA Formula One World Drivers' Championship standings, as published by the FIA at the conclusion of the 2026 season.§3

Source

Official information from the FIA is the primary resolution source; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§7

Closes

Dec 21, 2026 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.