Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OhneScharf0xd277…73fe | No | 775 | 38.2¢ | $376 | — |
| Rentabar0xf802…d91d | Yes | 484 | 65.2¢ | $249 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 325 | 38.2¢ | $158 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| Filobestia0xe5d7…d8a3 | Yes | 257 | 69.0¢ | $132 | — |
| gravityfusion0x7ac3…8df3 | Yes | 193 | 52.0¢ | $99 | — |
| bubububblebutt0xb220…5f71 | Yes | 176 | 60.6¢ | $90 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 125 | 32.0¢ | $61 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0xb969…fd97 | No | 78 | 40.0¢ | $38 | — |
| Hosei0x1eca…3a06 | Yes | 61 | 84.5¢ | $31 | Proven+$8.49 per $100 · 284 bets |
| ttsnail01000x2702…0495 | Yes | 60 | 50.2¢ | $31 | — |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 61 | 16.4¢ | $30 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 50 | 70.0¢ | $26 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,054 bets |
| Peaven0x4b48…35d0 | Yes | 50 | 76.0¢ | $26 | Proven+$10.81 per $100 · 593 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 27 | 58.2¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093 bets |
| 0x7cb9…1f21 | No | 25 | 40.0¢ | $12 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 23 | 61.2¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| d4vd0x96b2…abf1 | Yes | 15 | 66.1¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x2480…a04b | Yes | 14 | 74.0¢ | $7 | — |
| conti4840xdaa8…7360 | No | 13 | 62.4¢ | $6 | — |
| jach310x413d…0db8 | Yes | 10 | 92.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,222 bets |
| ericcartmans0xa107…8da2 | Yes | 7 | 72.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x3f03…acb4 | Yes | 6 | 85.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x127c…3743 | Yes | 5 | 98.1¢ | $3 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 5 | 63.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa28b…ebd9 | Yes | 5 | 75.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | No | 5 | 56.0¢ | $2 | — |
| aether01910x8dd2…665b | No | 4 | 24.9¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 3 | 35.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x3902…5245 | No | 3 | 66.5¢ | $1 | New96 settled bets |
| cjbest0x0c7d…5fc1 | Yes | 2 | 44.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6ada…d76c | Yes | 2 | 45.5¢ | $1 | New94 settled bets |
| 1arrestart0x9a34…1911 | Yes | 1 | 73.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3c03…af1f | Yes | 1 | 74.3¢ | $1 | — |
| kenshin210x3f0b…e9c9 | Yes | 1 | 74.0¢ | $1 | — |
| NoraKnows0xc3f4…89b5 | Yes | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x73f4…a24b | Yes | 0 | 73.0¢ | $0 | New55 settled bets |
| GUIGS0xfe35…6789 | Yes | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.