Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Up money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much Down. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Up, 0 on Down. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| easyclap0x71a7…6fcf | Up | 2,155 | 57.5¢ | $1.22K | Proven+$4.45 per $100 · 5,640 bets |
| vedaresearch.eth0xa64d…cad1 | Down | 1,991 | 51.1¢ | $866 | — |
Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xfdc0…e6a1 |
| Down |
| 1,706 |
| 48.0¢ |
| $742 |
| — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Up | 1,133 | 52.2¢ | $640 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| Niseko0x801d…d8e0 | Up | 400 | 53.7¢ | $226 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 2,045 bets |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | 227 | 43.1¢ | $128 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 3,986 bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 67 shares each side · Show
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Ethereum price · Oct 12 · 331 events · $30.8K in play