Market · 5 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 4,341 | 86.3¢ | $4.09K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| elrah0x81a6…b93b | No | 1,562 | 93.3¢ | $1.47K | — |
| Pellepele0x17db…c1e8 | No | 908 | 95.3¢ | $855 | — |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | No | 867 | 90.3¢ | $816 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 3,986 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 780 | 92.7¢ | $734 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 740 | 90.5¢ | $696 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 396 | 90.3¢ | $373 | — |
| TOWERCAPITAL0xafe6…8192 | Yes | 3,000 | 10.1¢ | $175 | Positive+$5.47 per $100 · 947 bets |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | No | 111 | 90.2¢ | $104 | — |
| Sherlock.0x52be…8bde | Yes | 1,665 | 4.1¢ | $97 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 100 | 96.6¢ | $94 | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 1,395 | 9.6¢ | $82 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ80x4aba…f791 | No | 75 | 95.2¢ | $70 | — |
| Anon1780xe931…4268 | Yes | 1,041 | 8.1¢ | $61 | — |
| vedaresearch.eth0xa64d…cad1 | Yes | 1,024 | 11.2¢ | $60 | — |
| fnw0x0db9…7450 | No | 53 | 97.4¢ | $50 | — |
| Sadoshi0xe3e5…dd13 | No | 50 | 93.6¢ | $47 | — |
| bosoni0x7f6e…6f74 | No | 42 | 95.9¢ | $39 | — |
| LfgmOON0xdcdd…d359 | Yes | 550 | 81.2¢ | $32 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 94.5¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| all.0x1aa9…d9b0 | Yes | 300 | 10.3¢ | $18 | — |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 278 | 4.4¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 23,353 bets |
| 0x2573…71d6 | Yes | 262 | 7.6¢ | $15 | — |
| letniy0xd0e0…2a91 | Yes | 250 | 8.1¢ | $15 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 15 | 63.7¢ | $14 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 89.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 89.1¢ | $9 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| OblivionAwaits0x6cea…585d | No | 10 | 92.6¢ | $9 | — |
| arbandy0x5eb0…5012 | Yes | 130 | 10.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$11.24 per $100 · 861 bets |
| 0x84d1…7782 | No | 7 | 93.5¢ | $7 | — |
| sixty-two0xeec7…2fa1 | No | 5 | 92.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd2dc…5a41 | Yes | 82 | 3.6¢ | $5 | — |
| nobody121380x5d2c…baf2 | No | 5 | 90.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | 5 | 89.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x7ad3…51f3 | No | 4 | 90.4¢ | $4 | — |
| motist0x2c0e…524c | Yes | 46 | 13.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8d80…872d | Yes | 20 | 5.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 9.5¢ | $1 | — |
| coinman20x55be…dca3 | Yes | 15 | 37.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 6,736 bets |
| Opelozz0xe85c…04d8 | Yes | 11 | 9.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Busss3r00x643b…0361 | Yes | 10 | 38.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 5 | 7.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 5 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| trader-05ddbe2e0x05dd…305c | Yes | 2 | 42.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.55 per $100 · 19,460 bets |
| trader-827e741f0x827e…554b | Yes | 2 | 42.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Ethereum price · Oct 12 · 288 events · $30.8K in play