Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 6,573 | 96.7¢ | $6.43K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 2,106 | 97.9¢ | $2.06K | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 23,353 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 1,007 | 97.9¢ | $985 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | Yes | 924 | 98.1¢ | $904 | Break-even−$0.08 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| Br190xe673…3076 | Yes | 382 | 98.1¢ | $374 | — |
| BlackieL0x79f5…c3d0 | Yes | 290 | 65.1¢ | $284 | — |
| 0x7875…e0ef | Yes | 206 | 97.2¢ | $202 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 177 | 98.1¢ | $173 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 143 | 97.9¢ | $140 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ80x4aba…f791 | Yes | 129 | 98.1¢ | $126 | — |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | Yes | 102 | 98.1¢ | $100 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 100 | 97.7¢ | $98 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| erevan0xf1f4…8e52 | No | 4,163 | 2.0¢ | $90 | — |
| Pellepele0x17db…c1e8 | Yes | 81 | 90.7¢ | $79 | — |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | Yes | 73 | 96.1¢ | $71 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 3,986 bets |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | Yes | 62 | 98.0¢ | $61 | — |
| bosoni0x7f6e…6f74 | Yes | 42 | 96.1¢ | $41 | — |
| openclaw380x0de2…1998 | Yes | 40 | 92.6¢ | $39 | — |
| AverageManWithFees0x28ef…986b | Yes | 40 | 98.1¢ | $39 | — |
| cyfra0x4c2a…65dc | No | 1,200 | 3.1¢ | $26 | Positive+$5.21 per $100 · 2,740 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 1,195 | 6.3¢ | $26 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 84,614+ bets · updating |
| doc.holliday0x6239…c6b4 | No | 1,145 | 2.3¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 989 | 3.7¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| sanlitouP20x1d27…7e73 | Yes | 20 | 98.1¢ | $20 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 18 | 96.7¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| kingofcoinflips0xe9c6…95c9 | No | 614 | 14.1¢ | $13 | Proven+$2.54 per $100 · 6,853 bets |
| vedaresearch.eth0xa64d…cad1 | No | 580 | 2.2¢ | $12 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 468 | 3.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 425 | 2.3¢ | $9 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| 0xe1ba…c53e | Yes | 9 | 58.8¢ | $9 | — |
| tsddd0xf961…34dd | Yes | 8 | 97.5¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 7,594 bets |
| sixty-one0xafcd…dd7a | Yes | 8 | 92.4¢ | $7 | — |
| motist0x2c0e…524c | No | 344 | 4.1¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x285e…f38c | No | 277 | 2.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 0bmzz0xf390…8a82 | Yes | 6 | 96.6¢ | $6 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 234 | 3.8¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GageZ-Agent0x88af…4cbc | Yes | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | — |
| DenG19820x0577…4660 | Yes | 5 | 97.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | — |
| JSAuckland0xe72c…6746 | No | 160 | 2.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8d80…872d | No | 140 | 3.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x6c2f…6d59 | No | 112 | 9.5¢ | $2 | — |
| all.0x1aa9…d9b0 | No | 100 | 12.1¢ | $2 | — |
| wufujinri0x111a…4df9 | No | 95 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| MyLastStand0x419f…e853 | No | 91 | 2.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd2dc…5a41 | No | 87 | 3.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 1 | 54.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| 0x725d…019e | No | 40 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0e92…c163 | No | 17 | 30.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 10 | 26.7¢ | $0 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 32.4¢ | $0 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 34.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| addl120x1461…b97e | No | 8 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 6 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 5 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | No | 5 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Ethereum price · Oct 12 · 288 events · $30.8K in play