Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week
Ends: Oct 12; ended

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:11 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week: 576 traders
Ends: Oct 12; ended

Who's really betting

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Top holders after netting each trader's Up shares against their Down shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
supertl0x9a83…954d	Up	1	73.4¢	$1	—
mihaXd0xa823…6215	Up	0	56.2¢	$0	—
waterOasys0x3d68…bf90	Up	0	73.3¢	$0	—
0xd738…eeee	Up	0	68.5¢	$0	—
jhjhjhjhjh0x797f…37e8	Up	0	96.1¢	$0	—
0x6ae3…6c03	Up	0	74.1¢	$0	—
xim0n0x8767…fbef	Up	0	94.2¢	$0	—
liukuaibinxigua0xd4e0…b12e	Up	0	88.6¢	$0	—
1172330260x22f2…5882	Up	0	84.6¢	$0	—
TerenceXBT0x8bef…7bad	Down	1,212	34.5¢	$0	—
wuchi7770xbb7f…613d	Down	1,000	1.1¢	$0	—
animal000x55ae…f5df	Down	600	1.0¢	$0	Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 62,382 bets
0x52b2…653d	Down	500	1.1¢	$0	—
0x6205…4c1e	Down	401	1.0¢	$0	—
btc120x2a92…dc69	Down	400	51.7¢	$0	—
mia11110x720b…d2cd	Down	335	1.0¢	$0	—
Kentxd70x573f…e563	Down	256	8.0¢	$0	—
Danniel-plA0xacf5…2c8d	Down	211	1.5¢	$0	—
LuckyPoRuski-btc-new0x8d3d…db44	Down	200	1.0¢	$0	—
Gl2eEn0xdf94…972c	Down	200	1.0¢	$0	—
SamuelBet6160x12cb…c0fd	Down	181	57.0¢	$0	—
Hamudi4150xf002…abbb	Down	181	43.2¢	$0	—
Whynotserious10x6944…149d	Down	153	40.8¢	$0	—
giondimarket0x27d0…45f4	Down	150	1.1¢	$0	—
0xf27d…9a88	Down	147	1.7¢	$0	—
GAMELEL0x43e2…22d2	Down	131	47.6¢	$0	—
CWHR0x56b7…205c	Down	125	4.0¢	$0	—
not-epstein0xe18b…db44	Down	120	2.0¢	$0	—
jerito0x3da4…1da8	Down	120	43.4¢	$0	—
lemusk0xad8b…284c	Down	101	2.0¢	$0	—
btcmak0x4013…c3b0	Down	100	1.0¢	$0	—
0livetti0x9063…da18	Down	100	6.4¢	$0	—
loseurself0xaa12…6734	Down	100	1.1¢	$0	—
sdsd5500xdcad…dede	Down	100	2.0¢	$0	—
0xe544…707b	Down	100	3.0¢	$0	—
Nurmatovv0x5747…8b6e	Down	100	1.0¢	$0	—
ReZn0x4a71…d4d2	Down	87	53.7¢	$0	—
wwwno10xe8e9…ed98	Down	74	68.5¢	$0	—
UpupupYeah0xd117…d712	Down	69	52.1¢	$0	—
freewin00xb76a…4fb1	Down	60	36.0¢	$0	—
Grandmasterbtc0x47d5…44e5	Down	60	36.0¢	$0	—
Sunw0x94bf…4bd1	Down	60	36.0¢	$0	—
syxbyq0xbc7d…066a	Down	50	2.0¢	$0	—
Tron290xcc02…e0d4	Down	49	42.9¢	$0	—
woshim2220x0a73…8dfb	Down	48	5.3¢	$0	—
solove0xf09f…1ca0	Down	45	3.0¢	$0	—
Hazel11220xe661…f84a	Down	39	51.7¢	$0	—
0x872b…7d66	Down	38	53.7¢	$0	—
HuaJia19000xd43b…3dce	Down	36	41.6¢	$0	—
VarianceDoesntExist0xdced…92c6	Down	36	57.1¢	$0	—
raxbat0x4430…07b6	Down	34	42.7¢	$0	—
aotuma0x62f4…c090	Down	30	51.7¢	$0	—
tu.buffalo.kid0x2f1d…d849	Down	26	51.7¢	$0	—
Mysco0xebfd…5f9e	Down	26	32.5¢	$0	—
circus-feynman0xddf1…5ccb	Down	25	1.0¢	$0	—
0x335c…b6e6	Down	24	48.0¢	$0	—
0xde3d…6b1f	Down	24	22.2¢	$0	—
forked0x7c8f…fed8	Down	23	59.3¢	$0	—
8888yi0xd2e6…1873	Down	23	67.2¢	$0	—
riceTwoOrdinary0x2965…5afa	Down	7	26.5¢	$0	—

Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:11 UTC. Not financial advice.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Who's really betting

Who's really betting