Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| liukuaibinxigua0xd4e0…b12e | Up | 0 | 92.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TheIliad0xf5ed…1c94 | Up | 0 | 60.2¢ | $0 | — |
| penguinx0x433f…a0dc | Down | 6,500 | 43.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 3,714 bets |
| Szgboy0x0100…a303 | Down | 2,172 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 9,011 bets |
| CnR890x071a…7400 | Down | 1,000 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| rooli10xc389…d228 | Down | 635 | 32.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 18,945 bets |
| tumtumtrum0x14f5…7291 | Down | 537 | 10.3¢ | $0 | — |
| viking-weightlifter0xb165…46d2 | Down | 469 | 56.1¢ | $0 | — |
| tyiaois0x90ae…bb56 | Down | 400 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hwidelance0x24ce…da46 | Down | 317 | 55.2¢ | $0 | — |
| boppbop0xf70c…4e63 | Down | 209 | 48.9¢ | $0 | — |
| deepWork0x0e4c…fcc7 | Down | 200 | 23.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LexiPrime0xa395…be0b | Down | 185 | 11.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Little-big0xe8d6…c964 | Down | 150 | 52.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$38.56 per $100 · 47,040 bets |
| theone123450xbdaa…fd60 | Down | 134 | 37.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | 83 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| afv0x0x1332…c83a | Down | 75 | 60.2¢ | $0 | — |
| minusalpha10x6c15…7d2d | Down | 71 | 73.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lionyum0xbfb4…c563 | Down | 57 | 52.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Hazel11220xe661…f84a | Down | 56 | 53.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x118d…fc09 | Down | 56 | 18.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | 51 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| aaa2210xd8f1…74a9 | Down | 50 | 19.4¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Down | 45 | 12.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| JHOLA0xa555…f286 | Down | 44 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ersao0xfb50…07ce | Down | 40 | 53.5¢ | $0 | — |
| stonefield560x6972…ebcc | Down | 40 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| northline480x513b…ade9 | Down | 40 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| clearbasis220x3ab0…0a44 | Down | 40 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| silvena380xe761…0522 | Down | 40 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DimikG0x7a96…b71d | Down | 36 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| crossarbbot0x93c4…8d9a | Down | 34 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| oreitre0x81c9…94cd | Down | 30 | 20.6¢ | $0 | — |
| SaliSabah0x6477…52bc | Down | 30 | 10.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x624e…9bed | Down | 26 | 9.6¢ | $0 | — |
| cnmgz0x2e95…398f | Down | 25 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| niulai10x3eac…724e | Down | 21 | 46.0¢ | $0 | — |
| earlywise0x36b8…4ee0 | Down | 20 | 48.5¢ | $0 | — |
| BobbyBrant0x9028…8608 | Down | 20 | 60.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaaab…b2fc | Down | 20 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc0a6…5bdf | Down | 20 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde31…f42f | Down | 20 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| noideastrategy0x699f…5f87 | Down | 16 | 44.7¢ | $0 | — |
| bettingonshit220xa28b…d8b6 | Down | 15 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| grayharbor190xf79d…9fe9 | Down | 15 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tanaros0x22b3…a018 | Down | 15 | 48.7¢ | $0 | — |
| bdogdog0xf505…a944 | Down | 14 | 76.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Alborracho0x7e6a…13ce | Down | 13 | 61.7¢ | $0 | — |
| underss0x1972…31c2 | Down | 13 | 47.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ant62580x1f64…d313 | Down | 11 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| medi4w0x6b0f…0042 | Down | 11 | 9.6¢ | $0 | — |
| WRLDa0x0ea4…c962 | Down | 11 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.