Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| liukuaibinxigua0xd4e0…b12e | Up | 0 | 92.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TheIliad0xf5ed…1c94 | Up | 0 | 60.2¢ | $0 | — |
| penguinx0x433f…a0dc | Down | 6,500 | 43.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.57 per $100 · 3,698 bets |
| Szgboy0x0100…a303 | Down | 2,172 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 8,986 bets |
| CnR890x071a…7400 | Down | 1,000 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| rooli10xc389…d228 | Down | 635 | 32.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 18,945 bets |
Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.