Market · 6 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price · Oct 12 · 308 events · $53.7K in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 26,132 | 94.6¢ | $25.2K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| coinman20x55be…dca3 | No | 8,456 | 94.2¢ | $8.17K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 5,015 | 95.2¢ | $4.84K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | No | 2,849 | 96.0¢ | $2.75K | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 23,353 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 2,581 | 95.5¢ | $2.49K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| dajsijnnd0xcd3d…a1e7 | No | 1,929 | 95.0¢ | $1.86K | — |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | No | 1,663 | 97.6¢ | $1.61K | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 1,611 | 92.0¢ | $1.56K | — |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ80x4aba…f791 | No | 1,493 | 94.3¢ | $1.44K | — |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | No | 1,305 | 94.6¢ | $1.26K | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 3,986 bets |
| Darthc0der0xeeb6…cc67 | No | 1,067 | 95.1¢ | $1.03K | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 1,060 | 94.4¢ | $1.02K | — |
| Pellepele0x17db…c1e8 | No | 1,019 | 96.7¢ | $984 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 943 | 95.1¢ | $911 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | No | 852 | 93.7¢ | $823 | Break-even−$0.08 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 640 | 77.7¢ | $618 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| Loooser0xb5c2…1750 | Yes | 12,720 | 3.5¢ | $432 | — |
| vedaresearch.btc0x8320…904e | No | 440 | 95.8¢ | $425 | — |
| GIJON0x866a…ef01 | Yes | 10,565 | 5.8¢ | $359 | — |
| Predictandbreathe0x2707…0afa | Yes | 7,500 | 6.6¢ | $255 | Losing−$3.24 per $100 · 3,219 bets |
| AverageManWithFees0x28ef…986b | No | 260 | 93.4¢ | $251 | — |
| Nicejaguar110xfba4…4cdd | Yes | 5,709 | 4.3¢ | $194 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 200 | 92.5¢ | $193 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Anon1780xe931…4268 | Yes | 3,181 | 5.2¢ | $108 | — |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | No | 107 | 94.9¢ | $103 | — |
| TOWERCAPITAL0xafe6…8192 | Yes | 3,000 | 6.4¢ | $102 | Positive+$5.47 per $100 · 947 bets |
| drdoom210x75b0…63c6 | No | 104 | 96.8¢ | $100 | — |
| averageJack0x028b…ee8a | No | 98 | 95.3¢ | $95 | — |
| Vasyatrade230x1c90…7628 | Yes | 2,670 | 7.0¢ | $91 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 2,606 | 6.4¢ | $89 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| negar0xd5a6…6991 | Yes | 2,470 | 4.2¢ | $84 | — |
| fnw0x0db9…7450 | No | 71 | 97.7¢ | $68 | — |
| Sadoshi0xe3e5…dd13 | No | 68 | 95.1¢ | $65 | — |
| 666himself10x32a9…fc3f | Yes | 1,659 | 3.2¢ | $56 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 50 | 96.0¢ | $48 | — |
| bosoni0x7f6e…6f74 | No | 41 | 97.3¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x5400…1342 | Yes | 960 | 29.4¢ | $33 | — |
| JoeDirtBuffett0x0e93…0078 | No | 32 | 95.5¢ | $30 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 4,025 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 29 | 97.0¢ | $28 | — |
| dexme0x2c32…30f1 | No | 28 | 95.6¢ | $27 | — |
| gggbonddd0x049a…9d54 | Yes | 748 | 2.9¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x13ef…5691 | No | 26 | 95.9¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x70b8…ec6c | No | 24 | 95.3¢ | $23 | — |
| warrior180x6cbc…b8de | Yes | 654 | 3.3¢ | $22 | — |
| sanlitouP20x1d27…7e73 | No | 21 | 94.9¢ | $20 | — |
| molinabro0xd097…e127 | No | 19 | 94.0¢ | $19 | — |
| droidchief0xd90b…da7c | No | 18 | 94.9¢ | $18 | — |
| Nonurbusines0x76c8…e383 | Yes | 510 | 2.9¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xddcd…725f | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$19.88 per $100 · 3,145 bets |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Yes | 480 | 5.1¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 454 | 3.1¢ | $15 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| enricooo0xd295…2c3a | Yes | 451 | 5.9¢ | $15 | — |
| PSCapital0xd02c…769f | Yes | 428 | 12.4¢ | $15 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 423 | 4.5¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| capitalistbet0xed3a…3b8f | Yes | 400 | 2.9¢ | $14 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 12 | 94.8¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| Bullishbullshii0xfb75…d717 | Yes | 333 | 3.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x036c…e838 | Yes | 306 | 8.1¢ | $10 | — |
| LonelyStar0xbd95…6b91 | Yes | 300 | 7.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Teleben0x5601…f8c4 | No | 10 | 96.1¢ | $10 | — |
| tsddd0xf961…34dd | No | 10 | 96.9¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 7,594 bets |
| Lukasvsand0x0dd6…9cb3 | No | 10 | 94.6¢ | $10 | — |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 92.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 4,786 bets |
| vad2015v0x20ea…0d11 | No | 10 | 94.6¢ | $10 | — |
| didadongda0x8e7f…e487 | No | 10 | 97.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xc21d…e3c6 | No | 8 | 94.4¢ | $8 | — |
| JSAuckland0xe72c…6746 | Yes | 200 | 4.1¢ | $7 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 164 | 3.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.52 per $100 · 111,745+ bets · updating |
| kiriat0xa45a…e0a3 | No | 5 | 94.1¢ | $5 | — |
| GageZ-Agent0x88af…4cbc | No | 5 | 95.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x132f…7cdc | No | 5 | 77.3¢ | $5 | — |
| nobody121380x5d2c…baf2 | No | 5 | 95.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Busss3r00x643b…0361 | No | 5 | 97.0¢ | $5 | — |
| themostbiggestdegenerateyouhaveeverseen0x8706…3b2e | No | 5 | 93.8¢ | $5 | — |
| omnibus-00c8ef0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | 129 | 2.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.32 per $100 · 15,729 bets |
| Shiv12190x0d0d…ca21 | Yes | 117 | 8.2¢ | $4 | — |
| helvetic-samba0x2bc8…b4da | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| Orewaluffy0x27e1…8fd2 | Yes | 100 | 4.9¢ | $3 | — |
| whatthehellyante0x623f…5ca8 | Yes | 95 | 4.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Lingzz0x2d0f…7e97 | Yes | 67 | 6.4¢ | $2 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 55 | 5.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| Mcool090x48a2…ca79 | Yes | 50 | 3.9¢ | $2 | — |
| NINJA310x832b…86ee | Yes | 44 | 8.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3340…13c8 | Yes | 38 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| NASX330x95b4…12e2 | Yes | 33 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3548…5e51 | Yes | 30 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojgan1180x692a…2753 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| bartimeeus0xba02…6b23 | Yes | 20 | 51.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Golammasum770xf22a…210d | Yes | 20 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| AlukaNanika0x2bca…d262 | Yes | 19 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Crayon0xc95c…5e0b | Yes | 15 | 22.1¢ | $1 | — |
| MyLastStand0x419f…e853 | Yes | 9 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 8 | 6.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.85 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| zzzgoodwill10x9527…f108 | Yes | 5 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 25 shares each side · Show
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