Market · 5 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | No | 7,720 | 81.5¢ | $7.7K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 4,001 bets |
| Navigator770x3e3d…d674 | No | 5,011 | 99.8¢ | $5K | — |
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 4,795 | 80.3¢ | $4.79K | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 24,435 bets |
| easyclap0x71a7…6fcf | No | 4,210 | 63.2¢ | $4.2K | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 5,652 bets |
| 0x76ee…471c | No | 3,601 | 99.6¢ | $3.59K | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 3,120 | 97.3¢ | $3.11K | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| vedaresearch.btc0x8320…904e | No | 2,406 | 95.2¢ | $2.4K | — |
| lee8860x8cc8…f1b3 | No | 2,125 | 94.5¢ | $2.12K | — |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 1,804 | 99.0¢ | $1.8K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| Facaie0xf70e…81df | No | 1,800 | 99.4¢ | $1.8K | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| 0xa081…ba25 | No | 1,657 | 97.8¢ | $1.65K | — |
| admi0070x74f3…ab34 | No | 1,525 | 96.7¢ | $1.52K | New30 settled bets |
| gumigu0010x5abb…05a3 | No | 1,387 | 92.0¢ | $1.38K | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | No | 1,025 | 68.1¢ | $1.02K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | No | 705 | 99.3¢ | $704 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 1,138 bets |
| ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing0x77e7…88ad | No | 612 | 99.4¢ | $610 | — |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 427 | 78.5¢ | $426 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,982 bets |
| 0x8d73…811a | No | 410 | 97.3¢ | $409 | — |
| jindoLive0x69a0…3608 | No | 300 | 93.0¢ | $299 | — |
| 0x385a…6933 | No | 294 | 97.0¢ | $294 | — |
| Kuihji0x21d4…9ed5 | No | 250 | 81.1¢ | $250 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 248 | 98.4¢ | $248 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,444 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 245 | 91.3¢ | $245 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| JSAuckland0xe72c…6746 | No | 200 | 94.6¢ | $200 | — |
| whatthehellyante0x623f…5ca8 | No | 200 | 96.7¢ | $200 | — |
| PhongLeXBT0xe94b…5abe | No | 151 | 58.7¢ | $151 | — |
| Wuti0xa163…7bcb | No | 121 | 97.6¢ | $121 | — |
| VigorishStrike0x0312…283d | No | 106 | 94.4¢ | $106 | — |
| 0xa4f0…df05 | No | 104 | 92.5¢ | $104 | — |
| ChoiceMeteor25200xb082…5138 | No | 102 | 97.4¢ | $102 | — |
| 0xe00b…e2de | No | 101 | 99.2¢ | $101 | — |
| dddsssfff0x088d…82f9 | No | 100 | 97.0¢ | $100 | Losing−$3.36 per $100 · 863 bets |
| WWTTT0x8e0f…65af | No | 100 | 97.6¢ | $100 | — |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 75 | 50.0¢ | $75 | — |
| Igor00010x1b4a…8a46 | No | 56 | 72.4¢ | $56 | — |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 50 | 94.4¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,624 bets |
| cactusnoodle0xd454…d749 | No | 50 | 70.5¢ | $50 | — |
| 0xc250…4faf | No | 49 | 42.7¢ | $49 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 40 | 69.8¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.13 per $100 · 16,523 bets |
| averageJack0x028b…ee8a | No | 33 | 88.0¢ | $33 | — |
| mtm1010xa6d1…bd47 | No | 33 | 80.2¢ | $33 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 28 | 99.7¢ | $28 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| elizabeth020x8ef9…06a3 | No | 28 | 79.0¢ | $28 | — |
| JSMongolia0x6006…c7e4 | No | 26 | 95.4¢ | $26 | — |
| Getrichortry0xdac5…d2c0 | No | 26 | 97.2¢ | $26 | — |
| TOWERCAPITAL0xafe6…8192 | Yes | 12,654 | 7.9¢ | $25 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 958 bets |
| patriciaharmon0x4d86…cc37 | No | 21 | 77.0¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xddcd…725f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $10 | Positive+$19.86 per $100 · 3,150 bets |
| SmillerCat0x2ef0…efb7 | Yes | 4,174 | 1.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Nicejaguar110xfba4…4cdd | Yes | 3,456 | 26.6¢ | $7 | — |
| LUDUSH0xc27d…0677 | No | 5 | 62.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Orewaluffy0x27e1…8fd2 | Yes | 1,900 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Sugarlatte0x97ff…f76a | Yes | 1,640 | 3.8¢ | $3 | — |
| kxelvryyo0x78cb…f366 | Yes | 1,595 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$47.32 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 1,333 | 18.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 23,479 bets |
| Saiy0070xd6a1…d362 | Yes | 1,239 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x88d8…7234 | Yes | 1,169 | 15.7¢ | $2 | — |
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | Yes | 1,072 | 35.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| Masterbear0x3a74…9043 | Yes | 932 | 5.5¢ | $2 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | 849 | 17.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| Venkat21310xaaa0…1685 | Yes | 836 | 6.4¢ | $2 | — |
| zakknos0x6d7e…3248 | Yes | 773 | 5.3¢ | $2 | — |
| qww10xbbcf…20ae | Yes | 750 | 26.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 10,855 bets |
| helvetic-samba0x2bc8…b4da | Yes | 698 | 29.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 2,086 bets |
| Artist222770x1329…b550 | Yes | 555 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 6spirit90xbc3b…e77a | Yes | 515 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ80x4aba…f791 | Yes | 509 | 11.5¢ | $1 | — |
| warrior180x6cbc…b8de | Yes | 417 | 25.3¢ | $1 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 408 | 13.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| LonelyStar0xbd95…6b91 | Yes | 400 | 18.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8f87…2b4d | Yes | 385 | 52.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Mewpa0xc0e4…4ec7 | Yes | 337 | 44.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x036c…e838 | Yes | 330 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$19.51 per $100 · 949 bets |
| 0x9a6e…1711 | Yes | 276 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Bullishbullshii0xfb75…d717 | Yes | 231 | 26.7¢ | $0 | — |
| luckygogo0x694c…a11c | Yes | 207 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Fartard0x1f6b…267e | Yes | 200 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.81 per $100 · 7,178 bets |
| Meter0x615e…5295 | Yes | 200 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$20.46 per $100 · 2,759 bets |
| richfff0x7298…99cb | Yes | 200 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wlxcrypto0x35ef…9f58 | Yes | 167 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| dvs11220xfa37…ee64 | Yes | 153 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| peliasf70xf765…752c | Yes | 125 | 41.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PSL..E0x52f8…ad19 | Yes | 104 | 49.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Wolfyigitcan0xcf82…a88e | Yes | 100 | 12.7¢ | $0 | — |
| jcy890x2a01…9b9f | Yes | 100 | 39.5¢ | $0 | New94 settled bets |
| 0x3b1a…ab23 | Yes | 100 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ManakeMega0x4176…fd86 | Yes | 100 | 6.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.91 per $100 · 905 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 90 | 12.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 293,648+ bets · updating |
| 0x237a…74a0 | Yes | 81 | 22.2¢ | $0 | — |
| C2H5O0x74cb…ae6d | Yes | 75 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7ad3…51f3 | Yes | 54 | 14.5¢ | $0 | New42 settled bets |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 31 | 25.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 30 | 51.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price · Oct 12 · 421 events · $488K in play