Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price · Oct 12 · 420 events · $488K in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 15,103 | 91.9¢ | $14.7K | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 24,435 bets |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | Yes | 13,234 | 92.7¢ | $12.9K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| easypredict0x3885…ca77 | Yes | 5,628 | 95.2¢ | $5.47K | Proven+$2.30 per $100 · 5,323 bets |
| ssddssd0xe392…c023 | Yes | 3,635 | 82.4¢ | $3.53K | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 619 bets |
| Navigator770x3e3d…d674 | Yes | 3,240 | 95.4¢ | $3.15K | — |
| BipTheDip0x9a48…ba21 | Yes | 2,813 | 96.4¢ | $2.73K | — |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ80x4aba…f791 | Yes | 1,972 | 93.1¢ | $1.92K | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 1,878 | 95.1¢ | $1.83K | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 1,419 | 94.3¢ | $1.38K | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 23,479 bets |
| Rust7010x08e4…e173 | Yes | 1,347 | 96.8¢ | $1.31K | — |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | Yes | 1,260 | 95.9¢ | $1.22K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| gumigu0010x5abb…05a3 | Yes | 1,000 | 90.0¢ | $972 | — |
| jindoLive0x69a0…3608 | Yes | 1,000 | 91.5¢ | $972 | — |
| Pellepele0x17db…c1e8 | Yes | 948 | 93.5¢ | $921 | Positive+$1.51 per $100 · 264 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | Yes | 843 | 88.2¢ | $819 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 8fg0xda25…b390 | Yes | 700 | 94.9¢ | $680 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 619 | 95.3¢ | $602 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| cactusnoodle0xd454…d749 | Yes | 595 | 95.7¢ | $578 | — |
| JotapeRazuk0xe3d7…46bf | Yes | 549 | 96.3¢ | $533 | — |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | Yes | 543 | 94.6¢ | $528 | Losing−$5.43 per $100 · 5,932 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 531 | 66.2¢ | $516 | Proven+$13.48 per $100 · 1,692 bets |
| Kuihji0x21d4…9ed5 | Yes | 528 | 95.1¢ | $513 | — |
| MOCAVERSE0x67ca…93b6 | Yes | 520 | 95.9¢ | $505 | — |
| Vipine0xb82b…730e | Yes | 515 | 97.2¢ | $501 | — |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | Yes | 500 | 90.4¢ | $486 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | Yes | 480 | 93.1¢ | $467 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | 472 | 88.1¢ | $458 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,982 bets |
| BlackieL0x79f5…c3d0 | Yes | 400 | 60.7¢ | $389 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | Yes | 338 | 54.0¢ | $329 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 6,907 bets |
| Worldrapidlystockpiles0x3ee5…a938 | Yes | 283 | 96.9¢ | $275 | — |
| vedaresearch.btc0x8320…904e | Yes | 267 | 96.0¢ | $260 | — |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | No | 9,172 | 5.5¢ | $257 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 767 bets |
| Santaluchia0xd039…ba3b | No | 7,275 | 5.5¢ | $204 | Losing−$8.86 per $100 · 162 bets |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | Yes | 206 | 94.2¢ | $201 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 1,138 bets |
| AverageManWithFees0x28ef…986b | Yes | 200 | 94.4¢ | $194 | — |
| achaacha0x2c8a…4c20 | Yes | 200 | 93.5¢ | $194 | — |
| JSAuckland0xe72c…6746 | Yes | 195 | 93.0¢ | $190 | — |
| 0x76ee…471c | Yes | 190 | 96.3¢ | $185 | — |
| NoA40x0320…c7f4 | No | 6,230 | 12.9¢ | $174 | — |
| JSMongolia0x6006…c7e4 | Yes | 168 | 87.4¢ | $163 | — |
| 0xd6b6…793f | No | 5,463 | 5.1¢ | $153 | Positive+$7.44 per $100 · 286 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 155 | 94.2¢ | $151 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,444 bets |
| David12030xf4a4…c284 | Yes | 140 | 92.3¢ | $136 | — |
| 0x1b58…ccc6 | Yes | 137 | 96.3¢ | $133 | — |
| saturdian0xa802…ab82 | Yes | 126 | 90.6¢ | $123 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 117 | 95.0¢ | $114 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| Fltlps0xe9f0…cfcb | No | 3,916 | 5.9¢ | $110 | New26 settled bets |
| Phangoogle0xe8fc…6d5a | Yes | 106 | 94.7¢ | $103 | — |
| GIJON0x866a…ef01 | No | 3,641 | 9.6¢ | $102 | — |
| averageJack0x028b…ee8a | Yes | 99 | 93.0¢ | $96 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 3,385 | 7.3¢ | $95 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| thismonth0xdfdd…5585 | No | 3,015 | 5.6¢ | $84 | — |
| 0x8b0f…7849 | No | 2,328 | 4.7¢ | $65 | — |
| Vasyatrade230x1c90…7628 | No | 2,276 | 13.8¢ | $64 | — |
| user98765430x89f8…68f5 | No | 2,171 | 4.5¢ | $61 | — |
| 0x61ac…4781 | No | 2,082 | 5.1¢ | $58 | — |
| Petyaaa0x56d5…10a6 | No | 1,889 | 5.0¢ | $53 | — |
| fesovec0xec83…13f7 | No | 1,395 | 4.1¢ | $39 | — |
| KOMZY0x6f2a…de7d | No | 1,016 | 8.6¢ | $28 | — |
| Jango80x23ea…672b | No | 1,000 | 7.3¢ | $28 | Positive+$9.78 per $100 · 999 bets |
| helvetic-samba0x2bc8…b4da | No | 805 | 12.8¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 2,086 bets |
| XiaoFengQin0xf800…daf7 | No | 769 | 2.5¢ | $22 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | No | 747 | 27.1¢ | $21 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 732 | 5.5¢ | $20 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 293,648+ bets · updating |
| Jeffyx0xfd49…b383 | No | 694 | 2.8¢ | $19 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 568 | 3.4¢ | $16 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| cyfra0x4c2a…65dc | No | 461 | 7.4¢ | $13 | Positive+$5.43 per $100 · 2,756 bets |
| PatoBlindado0xeee8…79df | No | 450 | 14.6¢ | $13 | — |
| Ca67670x53d9…7d14 | No | 362 | 5.9¢ | $10 | — |
| zakknos0x6d7e…3248 | No | 335 | 8.7¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x036c…e838 | No | 332 | 7.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$19.51 per $100 · 949 bets |
| LonelyStar0xbd95…6b91 | No | 300 | 5.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Mahakaal4680x825d…80e8 | No | 290 | 16.4¢ | $8 | — |
| AndrianoLamo0x3486…49ee | No | 265 | 8.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$4.68 per $100 · 4,874 bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 258 | 11.3¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| LME830x2f2b…d743 | No | 244 | 4.4¢ | $7 | — |
| 020419920x14b0…8d0e | No | 221 | 12.2¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x7875…e0ef | No | 207 | 3.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.84 per $100 · 1,382 bets |
| capitalistbet0xed3a…3b8f | No | 194 | 3.8¢ | $5 | — |
| wlxcrypto0x35ef…9f58 | No | 161 | 3.3¢ | $5 | — |
| jcy890x2a01…9b9f | No | 150 | 3.5¢ | $4 | New94 settled bets |
| 0xa4f0…df05 | No | 143 | 5.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x390c…e02a | No | 139 | 17.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xd479…0486 | No | 128 | 12.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 88 | 4.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 6.15K shares each side · Show
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