Market · 5 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ssddssd0xe392…c023 | Yes | 3,205 | 86.7¢ | $2.32K | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 619 bets |
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 3,573 | 15.1¢ | $983 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 24,525 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | Yes | 801 | 87.2¢ | $581 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | 795 | 78.9¢ | $577 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,982 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 554 | 81.6¢ | $402 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,444 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | Yes | 300 | 81.0¢ | $218 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 631 | 17.0¢ | $174 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| 0xdf04…11e3 | No | 500 | 9.0¢ | $138 | — |
| 0x7875…e0ef | No | 418 | 22.7¢ | $115 | Losing−$1.84 per $100 · 1,382 bets |
| ManakeMega0x4176…fd86 | No | 301 | 11.7¢ | $83 | Losing−$6.91 per $100 · 905 bets |
| 0xac37…aa2a | Yes | 113 | 89.2¢ | $82 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 235 | 9.8¢ | $65 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 6,907 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 75 | 81.0¢ | $54 | Proven+$13.53 per $100 · 1,708 bets |
| mtm1010xa6d1…bd47 | Yes | 53 | 76.6¢ | $38 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | No | 110 | 16.6¢ | $30 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| 0x4403…4752 | No | 91 | 11.7¢ | $25 | — |
| mcamoa0x4be5…20c0 | Yes | 30 | 91.6¢ | $22 | — |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | No | 65 | 10.6¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 4,001 bets |
| 0xe1ba…c53e | Yes | 24 | 86.6¢ | $17 | — |
| phillipmaldonado0xc625…91ec | Yes | 21 | 89.0¢ | $15 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 42 | 19.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 10 | 87.6¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| chiangfire0xc947…9b91 | Yes | 10 | 86.8¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x7ad3…51f3 | No | 25 | 14.6¢ | $7 | New42 settled bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 20 | 19.0¢ | $6 | — |
| insulano0xf4c2…5c65 | Yes | 7 | 88.7¢ | $5 | — |
| CapyCapybara0x07fe…8d6d | Yes | 6 | 88.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0bmzz0xf390…8a82 | Yes | 6 | 92.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x76d9…205a | No | 15 | 9.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$122.43 per $100 · 124 bets |
| 0x2e0b…631c | Yes | 5 | 84.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Busss3r00x643b…0361 | Yes | 5 | 88.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x5065…66c3 | Yes | 5 | 86.7¢ | $3 | New13 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price · Oct 15 · 2 events · $17K in play