Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 14,784 | 97.7¢ | $14.6K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | Yes | 2,287 | 97.0¢ | $2.26K | — |
| jakebet0xe744…f96e | Yes | 1,625 | 99.0¢ | $1.61K | — |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | Yes | 1,604 | 98.3¢ | $1.59K | — |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | 1,541 | 98.9¢ | $1.53K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| nearping0xf16f…9f16 | Yes | 1,000 | 98.6¢ | $989 | — |
| MOCAVERSE0x67ca…93b6 | Yes | 935 | 98.3¢ | $925 | — |
| Pellepele0x17db…c1e8 | Yes | 893 | 98.3¢ | $884 | — |
| spica2580x88f2…acce | Yes | 766 | 99.0¢ | $758 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 751 | 96.9¢ | $744 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | Yes | 700 | 96.4¢ | $693 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 610 | 98.3¢ | $604 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| abster0x348c…c35a | Yes | 566 | 98.5¢ | $560 | — |
| ssddssd0xe392…c023 | Yes | 500 | 92.0¢ | $495 | Losing−$3.33 per $100 · 617 bets |
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | Yes | 440 | 97.7¢ | $435 | Break-even−$0.08 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 420 | 97.7¢ | $415 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 23,353 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 412 | 98.9¢ | $408 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x4b83…b2f8 | Yes | 304 | 98.9¢ | $300 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 137 | 87.5¢ | $136 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| anna0030xe044…e14c | No | 11,022 | 2.1¢ | $116 | New22 settled bets |
| drg690xf899…f951 | Yes | 114 | 99.0¢ | $113 | — |
| dddsssfff0x088d…82f9 | Yes | 102 | 98.2¢ | $101 | — |
| 0xac37…aa2a | Yes | 101 | 94.7¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xb34c…75f8 | Yes | 101 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xdb6b…49d7 | Yes | 101 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| averageJack0x028b…ee8a | Yes | 98 | 98.9¢ | $97 | — |
| 0xb6d8…2b14 | Yes | 91 | 99.2¢ | $90 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 86 | 98.8¢ | $85 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 62 | 99.0¢ | $61 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| bosoni0x7f6e…6f74 | Yes | 37 | 98.7¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xa203…7deb | Yes | 32 | 99.2¢ | $32 | — |
| Wizaa0x1a60…cc65 | No | 2,406 | 2.8¢ | $25 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 2,382 | 1.2¢ | $25 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 84,614+ bets · updating |
| vin75ce-plymarket0xc0bd…28aa | Yes | 21 | 95.3¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | 21 | 97.9¢ | $21 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 1,909 | 1.6¢ | $20 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| mcamoa0x4be5…20c0 | Yes | 20 | 85.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x7177…38d6 | Yes | 20 | 99.2¢ | $20 | — |
| Spirit-LT0x1851…ae47 | No | 1,734 | 1.3¢ | $18 | — |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | No | 1,379 | 1.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| Jzkdneb0x4c58…1fc0 | No | 1,211 | 1.4¢ | $13 | — |
| Sugarlatte0x97ff…f76a | No | 1,180 | 0.9¢ | $12 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 1,169 | 5.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x7845…6775 | Yes | 11 | 91.6¢ | $11 | — |
| chiangfire0xc947…9b91 | Yes | 10 | 84.8¢ | $10 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | Yes | 10 | 66.5¢ | $10 | — |
| ijio0xdc2b…7251 | Yes | 10 | 98.1¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x3d65…4903 | No | 853 | 1.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x5797…7fb7 | No | 843 | 2.5¢ | $9 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x285e…f38c | No | 802 | 2.0¢ | $8 | — |
| tsddd0xf961…34dd | Yes | 8 | 98.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 7,594 bets |
| 0bmzz0xf390…8a82 | Yes | 8 | 95.5¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x7ad3…51f3 | Yes | 7 | 98.4¢ | $7 | — |
| CapyCapybara0x07fe…8d6d | Yes | 6 | 89.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xa903…1bf0 | No | 504 | 0.9¢ | $5 | — |
| trader-93173b860x9317…5a5f | Yes | 5 | 98.9¢ | $5 | — |
| qlambot0xd219…6cc3 | Yes | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | — |
| kingofcoinflips0xe9c6…95c9 | No | 473 | 8.5¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.54 per $100 · 6,853 bets |
| Busss3r00x643b…0361 | Yes | 5 | 93.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Bertelsen0xbb79…1fce | Yes | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf4d5…8e23 | No | 440 | 2.5¢ | $5 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | No | 419 | 9.1¢ | $4 | — |
| enricooo0xd295…2c3a | No | 412 | 1.9¢ | $4 | — |
| helvetic-samba0x2bc8…b4da | No | 400 | 3.1¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| Godzilla10x9561…0570 | No | 389 | 2.6¢ | $4 | — |
| zzmb00x283f…5d2f | Yes | 4 | 94.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 312 | 1.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| AverageManWithFees0x28ef…986b | No | 200 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| achaacha0x2c8a…4c20 | No | 200 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x41da…f8e8 | No | 164 | 3.3¢ | $2 | — |
| zzzgoodwill10x9527…f108 | No | 145 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| RobTheBuilderUK0xb0a3…2afe | No | 100 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| TheReapingJudge0x224c…ee07 | No | 100 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AlukaNanika0x2bca…d262 | No | 63 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojgan1180x692a…2753 | No | 59 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| MyLastStand0x419f…e853 | No | 50 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ManakeMega0x4176…fd86 | No | 29 | 35.1¢ | $0 | — |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ80x4aba…f791 | No | 20 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hunt1110xe833…d63b | No | 9 | 38.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 6 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price · Oct 12 · 297 events · $53.7K in play