Market · 4 of 16 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
4 more outcomes in this event.
of the biggest Alex de Minaur money sits with 1 account that holds just as much Karen Khachanov. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Alex de Minaur, 4 on Karen Khachanov. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbc43…96d3 | Alex de Minaur | 19,970 | 54.0¢ | $10.9K | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 772 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Karen Khachanov | 11,221 | 47.2¢ | $5.11K | Losing |
Shares = Alex de Minaur minus Karen Khachanov for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Bagwell3060x9c76…c926 | Karen Khachanov | 7,500 | 47.2¢ | $3.41K | Proven+$2.30 per $100 · 20,165 bets |
| 0xbedb…c818 | Karen Khachanov | 543 | 47.2¢ | $247 | Proven+$15.77 per $100 · 250 bets |
| itsmee0xda21…8646 | Karen Khachanov | 326 | 47.2¢ | $148 | — |
| paulaoofc0xa772…8686 | Alex de Minaur | 172 | 58.2¢ | $94 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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