Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
4 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Arthur Gea, 1 on Jakub Mensik. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Jakub Mensik | 11,000 | 62.1¢ | $6.66K | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 130,874+ bets · updating |
| fastball670x45e4…7e20 | Arthur Gea | 15,746 | 39.3¢ | $6.22K |
Shares = Arthur Gea minus Jakub Mensik for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | Jakub Mensik | 1,971 | 61.0¢ | $1.19K | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 155,914+ bets · updating |
| 0x1861…408d | Jakub Mensik | 883 | 61.5¢ | $534 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Jakub Mensik | 555 | 61.6¢ | $336 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Jakub Mensik | 300 | 61.7¢ | $182 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 29,533 bets |