Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 80,000 | 81.3¢ | $61.2K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991 | No | 184,720 | 15.0¢ | $43.4K | Proven+$5.00 per $100 · 149 bets |
| TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard0x1058…01c1 | Yes | 50,000 | 91.0¢ | $38.3K | Positive+$56.99 per $100 · 241 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 42,788 | 84.3¢ | $32.7K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| 0x74b4…6bea | Yes | 27,000 | 88.1¢ | $20.7K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| Spiderman1617160x8663…cfac | Yes | 16,331 | 84.7¢ | $12.5K | — |
| newguy6660xf579…9989 | Yes | 12,673 | 84.2¢ | $9.69K | — |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 6,805 | 78.5¢ | $5.21K | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 6,766 | 81.8¢ | $5.18K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 65,033 bets |
| Ferwhere0x152f…a549 | No | 21,670 | 22.5¢ | $5.09K | Positive+$68.55 per $100 · 157 bets |
| forgetfuldory0xf1e1…6f6f | Yes | 5,783 | 88.9¢ | $4.42K | New6 settled bets |
| bambooo0xdb9b…1d68 | No | 18,760 | 16.0¢ | $4.41K | — |
| gambler9250x76db…6987 | Yes | 5,480 | 77.6¢ | $4.19K | — |
| aiwar0x277e…7d32 | Yes | 5,000 | 86.0¢ | $3.82K | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 293 bets |
| 0x2a5f…6c92 | Yes | 4,972 | 74.7¢ | $3.8K | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 114 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 14,284 | 24.3¢ | $3.36K | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 84,614+ bets · updating |
| GoldmanSachs0x71dd…d61c | Yes | 4,073 | 92.4¢ | $3.12K | Proven+$12.50 per $100 · 534 bets |
| 0xf0ee…7d14 | Yes | 3,704 | 81.8¢ | $2.83K | — |
| HorribleWork0x7804…7025 | Yes | 3,638 | 79.7¢ | $2.78K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 1,375 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,464 | 73.3¢ | $2.65K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| TheRealWarMonger0xe472…e7eb | Yes | 3,000 | 90.5¢ | $2.29K | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 699 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 2,833 | 87.8¢ | $2.17K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| OldZz0x298b…f406 | No | 9,020 | 16.0¢ | $2.12K | Losing−$10.84 per $100 · 225 bets |
| Elposton0xe228…1f4c | No | 7,939 | 24.3¢ | $1.87K | — |
| babyshark.0x36ed…4a93 | Yes | 2,400 | 75.3¢ | $1.84K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 253 bets |
| 0xa1e0…e93e | Yes | 2,381 | 84.7¢ | $1.82K | — |
| 0xd640…480c | Yes | 2,173 | 76.9¢ | $1.66K | Losing−$32.74 per $100 · 775 bets |
| 0x6fdc…3869 | No | 6,958 | 15.1¢ | $1.64K | — |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | Yes | 2,000 | 90.0¢ | $1.53K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 1,853 | 86.4¢ | $1.42K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,907 bets |
| lil.b0x86b7…7d35 | Yes | 1,750 | 79.0¢ | $1.34K | — |
| The-Joker0x9aeb…2729 | No | 5,484 | 19.8¢ | $1.29K | Proven+$2.95 per $100 · 2,728 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,634 | 77.7¢ | $1.25K | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 86,515+ bets · updating |
| Melampus0x6561…e3c2 | No | 5,195 | 20.0¢ | $1.22K | — |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 1,553 | 77.9¢ | $1.19K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| ChatGPT-50x23e2…2e0d | Yes | 1,474 | 81.8¢ | $1.13K | — |
| solonchan0x7b84…953a | No | 4,212 | 12.1¢ | $990 | — |
| tiltlu0x2a86…0f6f | No | 4,095 | 25.3¢ | $962 | — |
| Delta1410x7c4e…6cad | Yes | 1,220 | 82.7¢ | $933 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 3,688 | 25.0¢ | $867 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| 0xc51f…be41 | No | 3,216 | 17.3¢ | $756 | — |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | Yes | 982 | 91.8¢ | $751 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | Yes | 800 | 87.4¢ | $612 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 782 | 85.6¢ | $598 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 766 | 86.2¢ | $586 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| minty12040xcad4…d3c6 | Yes | 758 | 80.0¢ | $580 | — |
| SaracensCapital20x94da…2bf1 | Yes | 700 | 82.1¢ | $535 | Losing−$4.10 per $100 · 294 bets |
| Dabian0x3f9a…8ece | Yes | 700 | 85.0¢ | $535 | New97 settled bets |
| Mender670xaef7…c8ea | No | 2,100 | 10.5¢ | $494 | — |
| Orion960x3069…f8ef | Yes | 641 | 78.9¢ | $490 | — |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 2,059 | 19.8¢ | $484 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| rwewinningson0x4e52…0e60 | Yes | 596 | 82.7¢ | $456 | — |
| 0xdafd…5ffb | Yes | 580 | 86.0¢ | $444 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 306 bets |
| EasyProfit0xf2e2…06fb | No | 1,852 | 28.0¢ | $435 | — |
| madjutsu0x61e9…b13a | Yes | 500 | 89.0¢ | $383 | — |
| Poopyface0x4f6c…6909 | Yes | 473 | 80.4¢ | $362 | — |
| Maru.lucky.nala.lenu0x392a…262d | Yes | 400 | 76.0¢ | $306 | — |
| trerira0x18ab…bae4 | Yes | 400 | 78.0¢ | $306 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 179 bets |
| randomlypunting0xaec3…22df | Yes | 396 | 83.0¢ | $303 | Losing−$5.00 per $100 · 1,379 bets |
| vgonzalonsopokora0xd0c1…6d32 | No | 1,111 | 9.4¢ | $261 | — |
| 86848B5D3A77CA68923AA7E789A0x87a1…bdd4 | Yes | 332 | 92.3¢ | $254 | — |
| tradingwhat0x4d5e…a877 | No | 1,001 | 14.9¢ | $235 | — |
| MysticFind0x7cf9…2798 | No | 1,000 | 9.0¢ | $235 | Positive+$1.93 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xfa4d…e4f5 | No | 1,000 | 10.5¢ | $235 | — |
| Peter.YF0x4079…7126 | No | 984 | 14.1¢ | $231 | — |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 963 | 22.9¢ | $226 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| john876314500x0162…3d19 | Yes | 272 | 92.4¢ | $208 | — |
| PurpleAurora0xe5ee…b6d0 | Yes | 245 | 82.3¢ | $188 | — |
| 0x96fd…e80c | Yes | 233 | 86.6¢ | $178 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 224 | 85.5¢ | $171 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| Imbleciar0xa6f8…316d | No | 664 | 18.0¢ | $156 | — |
| 0xcecf…acbb | No | 634 | 15.6¢ | $149 | — |
| 0x374f…5c21 | No | 604 | 24.9¢ | $142 | — |
| 0x5ce7…4d9e | No | 526 | 19.8¢ | $124 | — |
| Buhta0x27b5…9650 | No | 514 | 16.2¢ | $121 | — |
| CryptoAddict0x98dc…9949 | No | 500 | 9.4¢ | $118 | — |
| 0xa60f…70f0 | No | 500 | 20.8¢ | $118 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 102 bets |
| 0xea8c…aeb2 | No | 500 | 20.8¢ | $118 | — |
| art3698640xbc14…ea95 | No | 442 | 23.5¢ | $104 | — |
| frenchflair50x2ce9…5fc6 | No | 426 | 31.1¢ | $100 | New46 settled bets |
| Lujalykamatu0xee5e…e5a7 | No | 412 | 17.7¢ | $97 | — |
| 0x6dc5…b86d | No | 400 | 10.5¢ | $94 | — |
| chinases0xe1ff…fe26 | No | 400 | 26.1¢ | $94 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 385 | 22.0¢ | $90 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| 0x3850…0e52 | No | 357 | 14.7¢ | $84 | — |
| Madleo0xfa5a…7c62 | No | 313 | 16.7¢ | $73 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xfcef…9499 | No | 304 | 29.2¢ | $72 | — |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | No | 300 | 24.0¢ | $70 | Proven+$20.70 per $100 · 539 bets |
| maybebrian0x580a…a236 | No | 286 | 21.8¢ | $67 | — |
| Xiaojiucai8860x3e43…a50e | No | 263 | 19.8¢ | $62 | — |
| maraya0xd1c7…74b5 | No | 259 | 23.9¢ | $61 | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 1,070 bets |
| metrcrcl0xd24a…b52a | No | 215 | 18.7¢ | $51 | — |
| 0x37c1…25b7 | No | 212 | 21.8¢ | $50 | — |
| ArtIronman0xb060…9572 | No | 210 | 12.2¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x43fc…714d | No | 200 | 25.9¢ | $47 | — |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 200 | 27.0¢ | $47 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| MasterElite0xdb1d…7c4f | No | 131 | 23.0¢ | $31 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.