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Topic · Sports
3 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 3
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 16
in 4 days
Proven traders lean No on Draw · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 3 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| p12520xf975…4354 | No on South Africa | $19.6K | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 352 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:37 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No on South Africa |
| $14.5K |
| Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 33,698 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No on South Africa | $7.8K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
| shyu50000xc24f…087f | No on South Africa | $7.5K | – |
| bc7g0x6df1…ea12 | No on Draw | $5.4K | Proven+$3.71 per $100 · 273 bets |
| RDLedger0x0e28…07c3 | No on South Africa | $4.7K | – |
| 0xe911…3d4e | No on South Africa | $3.3K | Losing−$5.97 per $100 · 58,705 bets |
| Mantzuraj0x6f19…b9ff | No on Draw | $3.0K | – |
| kopeikin18480x204f…1c65 | Australia | $2.7K | – |
| SunlineTicker0x4df3…788f | No on Draw | $2.2K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 16,314 bets |
| smithagent0x1d1d…f2df | No on South Africa | $1.6K | – |
| NoIdea6660x7e14…7d13 | No on Draw | $1.4K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 234 bets |
| Mohammad4630x079a…d3df | Australia | $860 | – |
| x20260x69a6…4b30 | No on South Africa | $835 | – |
| KnightDasCapital0xadfb…c2ef | No on Draw | $781 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 59,765 bets |
| topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95 | No on South Africa | $706 | Losing−$1.98 per $100 · 35,437 bets |
| takeormake0xa38a…821d | No on Australia | $648 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 8,547 bets |
| virat3230x206c…409b | No on Draw | $627 | – |
| grandculp0xbb8e…08c1 | Australia | $508 | – |
| tradecraft0xde9f…d43c | Draw | $498 | Proven+$2.70 per $100 · 21,651 bets |
| 0x9384…e025 | No on South Africa | $439 | – |
| KingKhilji0x0213…188c | Australia | $397 | – |
| RKDZ880x2195…bce2 | Australia | $340 | – |
| mishipolis0x7a5d…54db | No on Draw | $315 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 24,294 bets |
| mouzsynapse0xa6de…256c | No on South Africa | $250 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.