Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No | 333,979 | 92.0¢ | $324K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 441 bets |
| 0xrc0x4004…c40b | No | 152,286 | 94.4¢ | $148K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 143,824 | 96.8¢ | $140K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| uycghj40x67ce…3881 | No | 136,378 | 91.9¢ | $132K | New81 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 109,451 | 95.6¢ | $106K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| TraderSDG0x6ae0…1472 | No | 100,000 | 93.6¢ | $97.1K | New17 settled bets |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 90.1K shares each side · Show
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