Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Francesca Curmi | 1,314 | 58.1¢ | $769 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 130,874+ bets · updating |
| MarinM0x7ca1…aea0 | Eva Vedder | 1,250 | 43.2¢ | $519 | Losing−$3.80 per $100 · 2,435 bets |
| CMKK0x04c7…c7a7 | Francesca Curmi | 300 | 65.1¢ | $176 | — |
| koeloer93130x95a0…ef56 | Eva Vedder | 300 | 36.0¢ | $125 | — |
| paulaoofc0xa772…8686 | Eva Vedder | 237 | 42.2¢ | $98 | — |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Francesca Curmi | 100 | 59.0¢ | $58 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 29,533 bets |
| moneyline70x49c5…3de7 | Francesca Curmi | 78 | 58.1¢ | $46 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 13,769 bets |
| antec0x8935…7daa | Francesca Curmi | 60 | 59.0¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 77,724+ bets · updating |
| StupidGamble0xec6d…5050 | Francesca Curmi | 50 | 61.2¢ | $29 | — |
| ddd1410xfa68…ba5d | Francesca Curmi | 40 | 59.0¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x2906…555a | Eva Vedder | 50 | 44.2¢ | $21 | — |
| TheRomanProcurator0x3e1a…4d5c | Eva Vedder | 49 | 42.2¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 13,728 bets |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | Eva Vedder | 46 | 42.2¢ | $19 | — |
| UpTheBlues0x2a69…d2f7 | Eva Vedder | 46 | 42.2¢ | $19 | Positive+$3.96 per $100 · 186,027 bets |
| hhhizli0x1d6d…f2b4 | Eva Vedder | 45 | 37.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Francesca Curmi | 25 | 57.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| jmp1230x147c…2540 | Francesca Curmi | 25 | 63.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 22,418 bets |
| BigShark-7060x2c02…b4d4 | Francesca Curmi | 10 | 65.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Francesca Curmi | 10 | 59.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ameisgoat110x2da3…f258 | Francesca Curmi | 5 | 59.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 42,480 bets |
| 0x1d48…22e7 | Francesca Curmi | 3 | 59.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 432 bets |
| dentleightadman0xd9c9…6686 | Francesca Curmi | 3 | 59.2¢ | $2 | — |
| trapfive0x250f…4fc6 | Eva Vedder | 3 | 42.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Petrarka0x7795…08df | Francesca Curmi | 2 | 61.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1eea…af80 | Francesca Curmi | 1 | 59.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.28 per $100 · 13,403 bets |
Shares = Eva Vedder minus Francesca Curmi for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.