Market · 15 of 16 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Maria Sakkari, 1 on Marta Kostyuk. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Maria Sakkari | 314 | 34.1¢ | $108 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 29,533 bets |
| paulaoofc0xa772…8686 | Marta Kostyuk | 147 | 68.1¢ | $96 | — |
| drex0o0x3d4c…67bc | Marta Kostyuk | 94 | 65.1¢ | $61 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Marta Kostyuk | 88 | 66.0¢ | $58 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| Octavian80x419b…6ea1 | Maria Sakkari | 148 | 34.8¢ | $51 | — |
| LeLynxMalynx0x200f…7a96 | Maria Sakkari | 137 | 34.3¢ | $47 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 58,311+ bets · updating |
| 0xe13c…1159 | Marta Kostyuk | 61 | 67.5¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x8b89…98d6 | Marta Kostyuk | 59 | 50.0¢ | $39 | — |
| Gota00x996a…51aa | Marta Kostyuk | 55 | 67.1¢ | $36 | — |
| omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c | Marta Kostyuk | 39 | 66.1¢ | $26 | Proven+$5.32 per $100 · 57,142 bets |
| GBSM20x2855…ebe8 | Marta Kostyuk | 38 | 67.0¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 35,211 bets |
| 0x5c54…f1d2 | Maria Sakkari | 59 | 50.0¢ | $20 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 18,038 bets |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | Marta Kostyuk | 31 | 65.1¢ | $20 | — |
| antec0x8935…7daa | Maria Sakkari | 53 | 34.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 77,724+ bets · updating |
| SteeeeeveMadden0x5cce…4b52 | Marta Kostyuk | 24 | 67.8¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x96d6…5892 | Marta Kostyuk | 23 | 67.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Marta Kostyuk | 20 | 66.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 64,078+ bets · updating |
| koeloer93130x95a0…ef56 | Marta Kostyuk | 20 | 65.1¢ | $13 | — |
| caspar12480xa278…3369 | Marta Kostyuk | 17 | 67.1¢ | $11 | — |
| clownly0x7547…d158 | Maria Sakkari | 31 | 36.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Flipso0070x05c5…8181 | Marta Kostyuk | 15 | 67.1¢ | $10 | — |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | Marta Kostyuk | 15 | 68.1¢ | $10 | — |
| fORZEN0xce35…75aa | Marta Kostyuk | 15 | 67.1¢ | $10 | — |
| zgcdwf010xa5e8…16eb | Marta Kostyuk | 12 | 65.1¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.08 per $100 · 3,519 bets |
| sbsport0x64c6…e917 | Maria Sakkari | 20 | 36.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Crag20250xa6cd…f008 | Maria Sakkari | 14 | 36.1¢ | $5 | — |
| iWasEnough0x2160…4c78 | Marta Kostyuk | 5 | 67.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 8,204 bets |
| Tennism0xf2f1…3ed7 | Marta Kostyuk | 5 | 67.0¢ | $3 | — |
| nuxxor40x899d…64e2 | Maria Sakkari | 8 | 34.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0 | Marta Kostyuk | 3 | 67.1¢ | $2 | — |
| adecart0x4888…6fcd | Marta Kostyuk | 3 | 69.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Santyclaus0x8a63…ceab | Marta Kostyuk | 2 | 67.1¢ | $1 | — |
| profitlaw0x2ee3…2e6a | Maria Sakkari | 4 | 34.1¢ | $1 | — |
| mymilly0xf393…9f39 | Marta Kostyuk | 2 | 67.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Lut130x8d96…8a5b | Marta Kostyuk | 2 | 67.1¢ | $1 | — |
| mishagr0x3f34…cbe4 | Maria Sakkari | 3 | 36.1¢ | $1 | — |
| mirabu0x8968…c3c1 | Maria Sakkari | 3 | 36.1¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Maria Sakkari minus Marta Kostyuk for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.