Market · 1 of 15 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Anna Kalinskaya, 1 on Shuai Zhang. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danshan110x36b3…e421 | Anna Kalinskaya | 525 | 70.1¢ | $368 | — |
| NM-P0xcf73…0215 | Shuai Zhang | 1,197 | 31.0¢ | $359 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 37,377+ bets · updating |
Shares = Anna Kalinskaya minus Shuai Zhang for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xc8d9…df36 |
| Anna Kalinskaya |
| 500 |
| 70.1¢ |
| $350 |
| — |
| 0x9086…4d46 | Anna Kalinskaya | 435 | 70.1¢ | $304 | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 2,913 bets |
| alberthegreat880xfb57…6719 | Anna Kalinskaya | 355 | 71.8¢ | $249 | — |
| pp1010x7f33…914e | Anna Kalinskaya | 333 | 68.0¢ | $233 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,133 bets |