Market · 4 of 17 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
5 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Alexandra Eala, 2 on Han Shi. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d | Alexandra Eala | 12,892 | 83.0¢ | $12.2K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 70,127 bets |
| hurrican0x8718…5040 | Alexandra Eala | 12,658 | 79.8¢ | $12K |
Shares = Alexandra Eala minus Han Shi for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| UpTheBlues0x2a69…d2f7 | Alexandra Eala | 12,254 | 85.9¢ | $11.6K | Positive+$4.00 per $100 · 186,079 bets |
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | Alexandra Eala | 10,082 | 82.3¢ | $9.53K | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 155,914+ bets · updating |
| kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9 | Alexandra Eala | 9,468 | 79.8¢ | $8.95K | Losing−$6.52 per $100 · 1,698 bets |
| TRCM0x42c9…9623 | Alexandra Eala | 9,340 | 82.7¢ | $8.83K | Proven+$3.02 per $100 · 13,550 bets |