Market · 9 of 21 outcomes
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zenggeqi0x26d8…b13d | No | 39 | 99.9¢ | $39 | — |
| swengda0xc42e…14e1 | No | 39 | 99.9¢ | $39 | — |
| vcbdd0xc9bc…3c05 | No | 28 | 99.9¢ | $28 | — |
| 1ertroe0xad3a…a845 | No | 27 | 99.9¢ | $27 | — |
| bengg0xd08d…b16f | No | 27 | 99.9¢ | $27 | — |
| vytaaqe0x831c…4b96 | No | 25 | 99.9¢ | $25 | — |
| huiii0x8d83…d8cf | No | 24 | 99.9¢ | $24 | — |
| bhgty0x5cf5…9eea | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $23 | — |
| rery0x6992…3ad6 | No | 21 | 99.6¢ | $21 | — |
| bhyuaa0x633f…b6cf | No | 21 | 99.9¢ | $21 | — |
| yybb70x6bf5…beeb | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x5825…f249 | No | 11 | 100.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 18,312 | 3.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$8.01 per $100 · 18,920 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 16,331 | 3.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,800 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 16,281 | 3.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,803 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 15,249 | 3.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,550 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 13,626 | 3.1¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,557 bets |
| Tony100x4274…ba73 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 9,801 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,993 bets |
| F0ulplay0x3674…2fc6 | Yes | 6,570 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 5,183 | 0.4¢ | $3 | New45 settled bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 4,605 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3,354 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 3,217 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 0xbb3c…a0f2 | Yes | 3,125 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 2,866 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 2,852 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2999…3898 | Yes | 2,083 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,944 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 1,833 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 1,804 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 1,801 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,599 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 1,308 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 1,197 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 1,074 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.16 per $100 · 20,637 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 1,026 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| lu149e0xef10…9268 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 999 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,826 bets |
| starleksis0x5c87…1321 | Yes | 889 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 874 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| Bukrev0xd9c8…c658 | Yes | 714 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 552 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbc3e…6693 | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 483 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 434 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 427 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.91 per $100 · 5,696 bets |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 409 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.63 per $100 · 23,386 bets |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 400 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 397 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 366 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x0731…4245 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 274 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 264 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| Mustwiner0xf40f…e473 | Yes | 250 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 241 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 219 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 200 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 153 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,166 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.