Market · 1 of 20 outcomes
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 378 | 9.9¢ | $154 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 297 | 14.3¢ | $121 | — |
| fountaim0x4b72…38d5 | Yes | 251 | 27.0¢ | $102 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 140 | 79.7¢ | $83 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 169 | 22.3¢ | $69 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | Yes | 164 | 2.5¢ | $67 | Positive+$4.21 per $100 · 344 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 102 | 55.9¢ | $60 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 88 | 2.9¢ | $36 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| lightsout9120x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | 68 | 23.5¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 61 | 28.1¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 60 | 18.6¢ | $24 | Proven+$8.70 per $100 · 4,101 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 57 | 2.9¢ | $23 | — |
| driphop0x2773…045c | No | 31 | 73.7¢ | $18 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 45 | 7.6¢ | $18 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 16 | 77.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 22 | 2.9¢ | $9 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,601 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 9.2¢ | $8 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 10 | 88.1¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 13 | 49.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 10 | 29.1¢ | $4 | — |
| loxoo2230xf647…2255 | Yes | 10 | 32.9¢ | $4 | — |
| xahtna5ez8ue0x31bb…3621 | Yes | 7 | 73.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 5 | 24.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 2.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 3 | 70.1¢ | $2 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 4 | 48.9¢ | $2 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 4 | 38.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 2 | 35.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 60.9¢ | $0 | — |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | Yes | 0 | 13.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 3,308 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.