Market
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lnn0x8834…d285 | No | 12,189 | 76.9¢ | $11.5K | — |
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No | 11,838 | 83.6¢ | $11.1K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No | 7,063 | 78.1¢ | $6.64K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 7,000 | 88.9¢ | $6.58K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| Sylvester.the.Cat0x0f2b…665a | No | 5,000 | 69.3¢ | $4.7K | Proven+$7.28 per $100 · 118 bets |
| 0x6868…a90a | No | 2,113 | 75.4¢ | $1.99K | New38 settled bets |
| 0xd054…7e38 | No | 1,500 | 76.0¢ | $1.41K | — |
| Lo-czy0xd480…4377 | No | 1,468 | 81.7¢ | $1.38K | — |
| littlebird0x202b…971a | No | 1,378 | 71.4¢ | $1.3K | — |
| ramboguido0x8986…be93 | Yes | 18,086 | 13.0¢ | $1.09K | — |
| greatdanilchenko0xa573…87c5 | No | 1,090 | 73.1¢ | $1.02K | — |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 1,036 | 90.8¢ | $973 | — |
| MonacoLover0xb8b4…1f6e | No | 1,001 | 91.0¢ | $941 | Losing−$9.91 per $100 · 139 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | No | 1,000 | 67.9¢ | $940 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 931 bets |
| Jerzy0x5943…2ef2 | No | 805 | 74.3¢ | $757 | Proven+$5.52 per $100 · 363 bets |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | No | 750 | 90.3¢ | $705 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| 0x51de…9e4a | Yes | 10,173 | 29.8¢ | $610 | — |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 545 | 78.5¢ | $512 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 711 bets |
| Ym777Ym0x66ca…532d | No | 500 | 93.0¢ | $470 | New23 settled bets |
| BusiDot0xd976…0338 | No | 467 | 70.1¢ | $439 | — |
| BigBoiBettin0x48ee…008c | Yes | 7,161 | 27.3¢ | $430 | Positive+$19.61 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Ameliayu0x3cc5…5f49 | No | 333 | 82.0¢ | $313 | — |
| TC20x4038…ca66 | No | 332 | 90.4¢ | $312 | — |
| EthaGGHH0xfde4…fc58 | No | 321 | 82.0¢ | $302 | — |
| Lucsassd0x4238…5730 | No | 311 | 82.0¢ | $292 | — |
| Oliveryy0x474b…496f | No | 302 | 82.0¢ | $284 | — |
| gummy-usb0xdf81…697d | No | 300 | 74.1¢ | $282 | — |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 299 | 92.0¢ | $281 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| Olivsassd0xe678…82b8 | No | 286 | 82.0¢ | $269 | — |
| Lucasssy0x69e8…7621 | No | 270 | 82.0¢ | $254 | — |
| Emmayu0xf5ed…5481 | No | 267 | 82.0¢ | $251 | — |
| 0x91c7…b576 | No | 230 | 80.1¢ | $216 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 584 bets |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 227 | 88.8¢ | $213 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| RetroATM0xacb0…63fa | No | 225 | 79.9¢ | $212 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 220 | 90.0¢ | $207 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| jalako0x5a24…71e8 | No | 200 | 69.0¢ | $188 | — |
| Get100x904f…50c6 | Yes | 3,073 | 15.6¢ | $184 | — |
| slapikayte0xd95e…ffa8 | No | 193 | 74.8¢ | $181 | — |
| Powerful-as-Vegetables0xe5cf…7392 | Yes | 2,661 | 37.4¢ | $160 | — |
| 0x53e4…b1dc | No | 147 | 92.0¢ | $138 | — |
| gambler130x7319…0299 | Yes | 2,238 | 7.7¢ | $134 | Break-even−$0.04 per $100 · 373 bets |
| Kyykst0xbc37…624f | No | 137 | 72.9¢ | $129 | — |
| Dmitry20090xea07…c982 | No | 137 | 73.0¢ | $129 | — |
| litenergiopss0xd940…8d04 | No | 137 | 68.5¢ | $129 | — |
| Oliviaq0x8dd3…e63e | Yes | 2,090 | 18.0¢ | $125 | — |
| Paukan0x1e21…9e58 | Yes | 2,040 | 29.4¢ | $122 | — |
| 0xcb6f…317f | No | 110 | 90.5¢ | $104 | — |
| timoha910xced4…d1dd | No | 105 | 95.0¢ | $99 | — |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | No | 101 | 91.8¢ | $95 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 100 | 88.0¢ | $94 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| osmachok0x89cd…c723 | Yes | 1,544 | 32.3¢ | $93 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 88 | 87.0¢ | $82 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 80 | 88.3¢ | $75 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| panzerdragoon0x37a1…b0c8 | No | 69 | 82.0¢ | $65 | New82 settled bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 1,044 | 29.8¢ | $63 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| santiw-7520xb3e4…1518 | No | 65 | 69.0¢ | $61 | — |
| Romanukrfury0x0a5f…dea7 | Yes | 994 | 20.1¢ | $60 | Losing−$25.15 per $100 · 452 bets |
| haichle0xfc25…b45b | No | 63 | 71.0¢ | $59 | — |
| IvanL0x6946…59b2 | No | 60 | 90.0¢ | $56 | — |
| superstrat0x0dca…e890 | No | 58 | 89.4¢ | $55 | — |
| 0xb943…9bbe | No | 57 | 80.0¢ | $53 | — |
| -FROMTHEFUTURE-0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | 834 | 8.0¢ | $50 | Losing−$12.39 per $100 · 523 bets |
| green130xe201…6d5c | Yes | 778 | 12.9¢ | $47 | — |
| Kermit5230x2518…31ad | Yes | 744 | 26.9¢ | $45 | — |
| bnetopt0xf18f…294c | Yes | 625 | 31.2¢ | $38 | Losing−$21.26 per $100 · 431 bets |
| noblesse.oblige0x24d2…1472 | Yes | 575 | 10.2¢ | $35 | — |
| 0x2f5a…d4eb | Yes | 560 | 9.8¢ | $34 | — |
| alpaca0x5da5…e620 | Yes | 529 | 18.9¢ | $32 | Losing−$6.68 per $100 · 287 bets |
| VladimirTheTerrible0x79c3…957f | Yes | 523 | 33.1¢ | $31 | — |
| Noupeinnouguein0x133a…8397 | Yes | 425 | 45.5¢ | $25 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 344 bets |
| MossBerg210x49ac…2f1e | Yes | 381 | 26.3¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| 0x223b…85df | Yes | 346 | 14.4¢ | $21 | Proven+$12.29 per $100 · 158 bets |
| 0x56d1…277b | Yes | 341 | 33.3¢ | $20 | — |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 340 | 31.8¢ | $20 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,426 bets |
| dschaller0x13b9…7f0c | Yes | 334 | 29.9¢ | $20 | — |
| dabendangt20xde7d…499e | Yes | 305 | 29.6¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.80 per $100 · 1,678 bets |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | Yes | 294 | 8.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| lottonakamoto0x2884…d0c3 | Yes | 260 | 27.8¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 990 bets |
| feiwur0xf465…28bb | Yes | 220 | 8.0¢ | $13 | — |
| alexxodessa0x21b1…b0cf | Yes | 200 | 10.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Seenelice0x8edb…d34d | Yes | 200 | 0.0¢ | $12 | — |
| pagliaccio0xabca…073b | Yes | 189 | 39.7¢ | $11 | — |
| Mark.Avreliy0x0ac4…8414 | Yes | 186 | 7.0¢ | $11 | — |
| hosiro0x129f…8955 | Yes | 185 | 29.0¢ | $11 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 175 | 29.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Witezslav0x680d…a342 | Yes | 168 | 17.8¢ | $10 | — |
| jd9jdaij0xf3fb…b340 | Yes | 166 | 34.9¢ | $10 | — |
| denosus0x48be…0644 | Yes | 144 | 20.8¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xfc63…596f | Yes | 131 | 30.5¢ | $8 | — |
| GeoStrategistPro0x9585…1ff2 | Yes | 128 | 27.4¢ | $8 | — |
| purebaby0xe23b…f147 | Yes | 116 | 6.0¢ | $7 | — |
| AnaFav0x41cb…a5df | Yes | 115 | 9.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$7.34 per $100 · 3,469 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 102 | 6.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| BarcziT0x7df4…201b | Yes | 96 | 25.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Eyala0x2fa2…dec0 | Yes | 91 | 11.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Ignitx0xab2a…27ee | Yes | 80 | 9.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa4d0…3d9b | Yes | 78 | 32.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Fanciness0xc1f7…3bfa | Yes | 72 | 27.4¢ | $4 | — |
| fgdhdghrthr0x86a6…1ac6 | Yes | 68 | 22.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Dow-Jones0xc5a9…0c9a | Yes | 67 | 14.0¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.