Market · 2 of 24 outcomes
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 24 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | No | 919 | 96.5¢ | $911 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 3,618 bets |
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | No | 140 | 93.5¢ | $139 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 517 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 123 | 85.0¢ | $122 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| banestow0x3080…337b | No | 58 | 92.0¢ | $58 | Losing−$20.74 per $100 · 495 bets |
| StingTrading0x0cc0…5765 | Yes | 1,835 | 2.3¢ | $16 | — |
| alohajp0xbeda…8bef | Yes | 1,506 | 10.8¢ | $13 | — |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 9 | 73.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,113 bets |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 4 | 86.5¢ | $4 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 322 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 240 | 3.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| fgjff0x395e…47b5 | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 2 | 98.6¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 2 | 84.1¢ | $2 | — |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 200 | 2.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,036 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 178 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 140 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdd84…cc2e | No | 1 | 98.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7932…453f | No | 1 | 98.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2a97…cf3a | Yes | 106 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| xiaodouzi0x9e80…30e2 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | No | 1 | 95.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 6,285 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 95 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 72 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 60 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 55 | 0.7¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 50 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 0xc3dd…e27a | Yes | 45 | 8.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 45 | 4.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x3e3c…e1d6 | Yes | 39 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xwon0x0b54…5eff | Yes | 33 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 30 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,301 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 25 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 21 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 21 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 21 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| Godofsunmoon0x93c4…443c | Yes | 19 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Dalsa0x50ec…e210 | Yes | 19 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 15 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | Yes | 14 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 14 | 6.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| illfigurethisoutlater0xe8cd…b264 | Yes | 13 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4b9b…7a9f | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf368…cfb1 | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | Yes | 4 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tradingneko0x437f…2d3d | Yes | 4 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 55sfds0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | 1 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 4.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 0 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 50000Harry0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | 0 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213213210x98ac…40d9 | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 0 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.