Market · 1 of 20 outcomes
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | Yes | 4,013 | 81.1¢ | $3.68K | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | 2,649 | 72.6¢ | $2.43K | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| 0x38d5…063c | Yes | 468 | 82.5¢ | $429 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,185 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 407 | 91.8¢ | $374 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| Bettor47470xf638…aa50 | Yes | 379 | 91.2¢ | $348 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 250 | 20.3¢ | $230 | — |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 2,615 | 19.3¢ | $217 | Proven+$2.94 per $100 · 2,404 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 2,405 | 19.8¢ | $200 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 194 | 94.7¢ | $178 | Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 794 bets |
| WWDCCC0xdb15…fad9 | Yes | 123 | 81.8¢ | $113 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 117 | 2.2¢ | $107 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 93.2¢ | $92 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,141+ bets · updating |
| Meluchluch0x7eb1…c7f9 | Yes | 96 | 94.1¢ | $88 | — |
| ChoiceMeteor25200xb082…5138 | Yes | 85 | 87.3¢ | $78 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 81 | 88.9¢ | $75 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | Yes | 80 | 91.5¢ | $73 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 517 bets |
| tylerpredict0xb5c7…f2c1 | No | 751 | 8.0¢ | $62 | New40 settled bets |
| hyperboreanchromosome0xf399…6bf5 | Yes | 64 | 94.3¢ | $59 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 60 | 9.0¢ | $55 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| puliotbabulu0xb3ca…1a85 | Yes | 54 | 94.5¢ | $49 | — |
| nombertwo0xef68…939a | Yes | 54 | 94.6¢ | $49 | — |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | 50 | 93.0¢ | $46 | — |
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | Yes | 43 | 53.2¢ | $39 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 35 | 90.3¢ | $32 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 32 | 29.4¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,036 bets |
| SweetChariot0x562b…dc09 | No | 224 | 31.1¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 5,021 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 92.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| Webb-On-The-Go0x4e87…179b | Yes | 17 | 90.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 212 bets |
| 0x4a80…e1ee | No | 180 | 5.8¢ | $15 | — |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | No | 175 | 12.7¢ | $15 | — |
| obscure10x8268…e7fd | Yes | 15 | 93.8¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.89 per $100 · 1,890 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | No | 155 | 5.5¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 6,578 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 149 | 16.2¢ | $12 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 147 | 18.1¢ | $12 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,100 bets |
| ChalkGoblin0xffaf…b675 | No | 140 | 76.3¢ | $12 | — |
| wookong0x6e6d…2d64 | Yes | 12 | 82.4¢ | $11 | — |
| idonthaveanintro0x7ba3…8d5f | No | 128 | 7.4¢ | $11 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 11 | 90.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Sandberg0x6416…18d7 | No | 115 | 29.0¢ | $10 | — |
| arm1tag30x7c62…f73c | Yes | 10 | 43.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 100 | 10.0¢ | $8 | — |
| sops880x201b…b9d3 | Yes | 7 | 72.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 7 | 94.8¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,029 bets |
| Meowchow0x4e9d…7b1e | Yes | 6 | 82.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x501a…f746 | Yes | 5 | 92.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 5 | 38.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 52 | 8.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | No | 49 | 14.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.94 per $100 · 537 bets |
| hippo23v0x6d50…a4c1 | No | 47 | 40.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xec6b…97df | Yes | 2 | 86.3¢ | $2 | — |
| EVpm30x4d1f…6465 | No | 26 | 37.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | No | 23 | 8.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 6,285 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 23 | 32.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| JustADonk0x01e6…e7e0 | No | 20 | 10.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 1,980 bets |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 2 | 12.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 19 | 8.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,159 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 16 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| sdgfdgfth0xf83d…367d | No | 15 | 17.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8791…446e | No | 15 | 11.3¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 10 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| 0xd45b…7ae6 | No | 9 | 16.5¢ | $1 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 1 | 91.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| sgtmike0x839f…d3f5 | No | 5 | 19.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.62 per $100 · 13,727 bets |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | Yes | 0 | 89.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,183 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | No | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 68sfds0x9a5b…acf6 | No | 5 | 49.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcec4…9258 | Yes | 0 | 18.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 2 | 19.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 2 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | Yes | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Xyzeric0xe5f5…9c9c | No | 1 | 7.5¢ | $0 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 1 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| sanliparaguay0x45f6…f6a5 | No | 1 | 7.1¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 0 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
| 0x383c…325e | No | 1 | 11.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 10.2¢ | $0 | — |
| degens90x88b0…b118 | Yes | 0 | 40.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 81.7¢ | $0 | — |
| cedriss0xe086…0450 | Yes | 0 | 40.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | No | 0 | 7.9¢ | $0 | — |
| okongwoo20xebd2…87f8 | No | 0 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x27c6…1f04 | No | 0 | 87.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | No | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 87,940 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 14.1¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 7.1¢ | $0 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | No | 0 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| couplehunnidthou0x26f7…9a17 | No | 0 | 27.5¢ | $0 | — |
| corsur40x5c0a…a2c3 | No | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | No | 0 | 7.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.