Market · 7 of 7 outcomes
Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | No | 2,501 | 83.3¢ | $2.27K | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | No | 258 | 86.1¢ | $235 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| 0xa147…2ec4 | Yes | 1,101 | 20.7¢ | $100 | — |
| Notard0x91c9…d319 | No | 106 | 94.4¢ | $96 | — |
| DeFox11250x475c…97f5 | Yes | 734 | 15.1¢ | $67 | — |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | Yes | 687 | 10.6¢ | $63 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| vyemfql0x5848…b529 | No | 66 | 94.8¢ | $60 | Proven+$12.63 per $100 · 203 bets |
| Iseedeadpoeple0xadd9…eab9 | Yes | 514 | 11.8¢ | $47 | — |
| nisiti0x06ae…0a09 | No | 40 | 96.2¢ | $36 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 40 | 93.0¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 241 | 7.1¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 17 | 80.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 16 | 88.5¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | No | 12 | 48.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$19.42 per $100 · 1,428 bets |
| ronen20260x7b74…0e48 | Yes | 104 | 19.8¢ | $9 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | No | 5 | 86.0¢ | $5 | — |
| KiraHK10xa87f…864d | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 30 | 14.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 30 | 7.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | 26 | 33.0¢ | $2 | — |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 23 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 15 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| alonl880xa882…6a9f | No | 1 | 96.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x776b…3475 | Yes | 10 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | 8 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1 | 79.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 4 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 2 | 6.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 2 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 1 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 0x987e…c3bd | No | 0 | 77.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| POB10xb431…82ec | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 93.9¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 14.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.