Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fqy20260x1370…2cfd | Yes | 4,673 | 44.1¢ | $3.53K | Proven+$6.44 per $100 · 102 bets |
| antonioperrieofarm0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | 3,999 | 65.6¢ | $3.02K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x6c76…1d72 | Yes | 3,420 | 73.0¢ | $2.58K | — |
| mushroom19960xcd0b…fa1d | Yes | 2,762 | 60.9¢ | $2.09K | — |
| willsom0xaa99…dbbf | Yes | 2,300 | 30.8¢ | $1.74K | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 782 bets |
| 0x51de…9e4a | No | 6,884 | 54.4¢ | $1.69K | — |
| Haozenlin0x2e24…8619 | Yes | 2,230 | 72.2¢ | $1.68K | — |
| 0xffd3…7c75 | Yes | 2,126 | 71.4¢ | $1.61K | Proven+$18.43 per $100 · 112 bets |
| Maru.lucky.nala.lenu0x392a…262d | Yes | 1,481 | 60.7¢ | $1.12K | Losing−$1.59 per $100 · 306 bets |
| StraddleSeller0x5207…686b | Yes | 1,352 | 40.5¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$18.06 per $100 · 506 bets |
| 1660S.eth0xfc40…56a3 | No | 3,995 | 67.8¢ | $979 | — |
| 0x8e7d…b30e | No | 3,933 | 31.4¢ | $964 | — |
| OneDollarBot0x4e14…86f0 | Yes | 1,242 | 69.5¢ | $937 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 955 | 66.0¢ | $721 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | 670 | 68.5¢ | $506 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| Jaydenzff0x8169…697b | No | 1,809 | 34.7¢ | $443 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 536 | 68.2¢ | $405 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0xb64d…fdb4 | No | 1,194 | 58.0¢ | $292 | — |
| jesuslovesy0u0x1e93…78bc | Yes | 367 | 67.4¢ | $277 | — |
| luca0.000x26f3…9e5e | No | 1,025 | 43.9¢ | $251 | — |
| adenakoz10xb615…73cf | No | 1,000 | 31.5¢ | $245 | Proven+$21.35 per $100 · 1,988 bets |
| Andy947870x88a4…e1d7 | Yes | 300 | 56.0¢ | $227 | — |
| flyingkite0xda45…d95b | Yes | 300 | 69.0¢ | $227 | — |
| lekkerweertje0x993c…8f7a | Yes | 288 | 69.7¢ | $217 | — |
| 0xa328…7f8d | No | 846 | 36.4¢ | $207 | — |
| Capitalisdead0xaddc…1df3 | No | 846 | 70.1¢ | $207 | — |
| Ning00490x110e…5db1 | Yes | 251 | 31.7¢ | $189 | New85 settled bets |
| 0x2503…9be5 | Yes | 208 | 46.6¢ | $157 | — |
| webot-ai0xc2a5…0ce9 | Yes | 166 | 49.7¢ | $125 | New25 settled bets |
| ZZ-TIC-M10x2a44…52b5 | No | 500 | 30.8¢ | $123 | New36 settled bets |
| KNOI0xef8a…fd72 | No | 498 | 51.2¢ | $122 | — |
| Daviddu08130xed7b…1ba9 | No | 382 | 69.2¢ | $94 | New55 settled bets |
| Tingo20260xc1d3…0d96 | Yes | 110 | 57.0¢ | $83 | — |
| M8880x4344…f90d | Yes | 110 | 32.9¢ | $83 | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| 0x16e7…0231 | Yes | 100 | 36.0¢ | $76 | — |
| NoPeeking0xffd2…d7ae | Yes | 100 | 25.0¢ | $76 | Losing−$7.26 per $100 · 1,107 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 293 | 70.1¢ | $72 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| fuyangz0x58c0…4233 | No | 288 | 55.8¢ | $71 | — |
| plymktq0x8386…bb8f | No | 272 | 59.2¢ | $67 | — |
| zwang270xe9fb…9e4d | No | 263 | 75.7¢ | $64 | — |
| zenba0xb8af…1928 | Yes | 77 | 65.8¢ | $58 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | No | 233 | 47.1¢ | $57 | — |
| crystalhoney0x46e0…2e5b | No | 215 | 72.8¢ | $53 | — |
| random1231350x853d…a335 | No | 200 | 25.2¢ | $49 | — |
| Faston0xa7fe…1f3e | No | 200 | 28.6¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xdeb2…f33b | Yes | 63 | 63.6¢ | $48 | — |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | No | 168 | 24.0¢ | $41 | Proven+$14.85 per $100 · 244 bets |
| WeatherHK0x488c…8c1c | No | 158 | 65.9¢ | $39 | — |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | Yes | 50 | 76.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 13,963 bets |
| 0xad61…d84e | No | 152 | 66.5¢ | $37 | — |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | No | 150 | 24.7¢ | $37 | — |
| 0x0385…7ffa | No | 149 | 67.9¢ | $37 | — |
| FRT0xe1cd…b6db | No | 143 | 70.8¢ | $35 | — |
| Btwang6660x0cd0…0e01 | No | 135 | 29.1¢ | $33 | Positive+$8.45 per $100 · 730 bets |
| yangzhe19910x636d…6a8f | No | 133 | 75.7¢ | $33 | — |
| 0x60a5…f52e | No | 131 | 36.8¢ | $32 | — |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 130 | 58.8¢ | $32 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | Yes | 41 | 62.3¢ | $31 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| 0x34dc…d280 | No | 115 | 36.0¢ | $28 | — |
| QQQQQQQ.0x3560…6db7 | No | 113 | 49.7¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x22d479bf00cf48acfeb61c174fdae8d4e530b40xddb1…ea72 | No | 110 | 27.3¢ | $27 | — |
| dandawo0xc151…7634 | Yes | 35 | 22.8¢ | $26 | — |
| R0ont0x7744…d8d6 | No | 107 | 56.7¢ | $26 | Losing−$15.49 per $100 · 300 bets |
| 0xf0cd…fd72 | Yes | 34 | 59.0¢ | $26 | — |
| AlexTiger0x7999…1d86 | No | 103 | 68.9¢ | $25 | — |
| doctorJay0xb12a…13f4 | No | 101 | 58.4¢ | $25 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 100 | 27.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| Hiworld.0x4f23…90db | No | 100 | 29.0¢ | $25 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 428 bets |
| 0XTrumpDKXuqB91R7913e0x5e3d…6143 | No | 100 | 27.0¢ | $25 | — |
| leoweng0x65d4…2754 | No | 100 | 30.8¢ | $25 | — |
| uycghj40x67ce…3881 | No | 100 | 26.0¢ | $25 | New81 settled bets |
| 0xd014…5258 | No | 100 | 61.0¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xf034…c70d | No | 100 | 53.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Uchimaki0xfe55…f6c4 | No | 100 | 78.0¢ | $24 | — |
| Leo76980xc030…fc04 | No | 100 | 70.4¢ | $24 | — |
| decaflatte0xfb2c…6bf7 | No | 100 | 68.0¢ | $24 | — |
| magicisminute0xe445…68aa | No | 99 | 61.9¢ | $24 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 30 | 68.3¢ | $23 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| bush.x0xa13f…e27e | Yes | 30 | 75.7¢ | $23 | — |
| Melody12010xbc0b…c321 | Yes | 30 | 59.0¢ | $23 | — |
| Mintlune0x2559…2ef4 | Yes | 29 | 31.5¢ | $22 | — |
| goask0x1cea…f32a | Yes | 29 | 43.7¢ | $22 | — |
| XIJINPINGsecretaryoftheCCP0xb867…169d | No | 84 | 28.8¢ | $21 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 24 | 70.4¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| sandersnicholas0x1ce4…2e70 | Yes | 22 | 74.0¢ | $17 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 20 | 72.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0x8c9f…46af | Yes | 20 | 56.5¢ | $15 | — |
| Scun13370x8a2e…d3ca | Yes | 15 | 38.3¢ | $12 | — |
| gostzo1230x569f…5561 | Yes | 15 | 61.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$4.75 per $100 · 938 bets |
| zx1an0xf159…f54a | Yes | 15 | 71.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5db9…190e | Yes | 15 | 26.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x19b5…17d1 | Yes | 13 | 59.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xea9e…de70 | Yes | 13 | 59.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xf86b…dc47 | Yes | 13 | 59.2¢ | $10 | — |
| wei8180x1914…1eb1 | Yes | 13 | 60.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x6780…666c | Yes | 13 | 60.0¢ | $10 | — |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | No | 4 | 36.1¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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