Market · 5 of 9 outcomes
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 984 | 93.6¢ | $951 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| Wagner2757380x3e82…17c7 | No | 412 | 96.0¢ | $398 | Positive+$1.26 per $100 · 235 bets |
| 0xc2f2…aacf | No | 362 | 83.0¢ | $349 | — |
| raymond20270x55c8…b44e | No | 361 | 94.4¢ | $349 | — |
| werffdsfa0x7723…6989 | No | 242 | 95.3¢ | $234 | New35 settled bets |
| JJblair0x9def…56bf | No | 225 | 88.7¢ | $218 | — |
| galtjay0x49e6…290e | No | 200 | 94.3¢ | $193 | — |
| bluemario0x34a1…7622 | No | 183 | 94.0¢ | $177 | Losing−$3.81 per $100 · 1,788 bets |
| Moneymafia0xc3f8…70e5 | No | 168 | 89.2¢ | $163 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 116 | 90.8¢ | $112 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Hiworld.0x4f23…90db | No | 111 | 88.9¢ | $107 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 428 bets |
| staymad0xf6c6…8a6c | No | 107 | 93.6¢ | $103 | — |
| agreebera0x8ccf…a7a3 | No | 100 | 94.9¢ | $97 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 48 | 87.0¢ | $46 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| ytzytz20250xa817…6714 | Yes | 827 | 13.6¢ | $28 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 23 | 92.1¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| AZ1190x6d85…b41c | No | 21 | 93.5¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xb6c7…1e2a | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $19 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 525 | 5.8¢ | $18 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 14 | 91.5¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 0x1133…8695 | No | 11 | 90.0¢ | $11 | — |
| fgfd30x223d…d60c | No | 11 | 89.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Curry110x82dd…35f0 | Yes | 300 | 4.0¢ | $10 | — |
| HuskyRRRRR0xe13a…ee7a | Yes | 262 | 15.0¢ | $9 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 255 | 8.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| gbsunshine0xcab8…47e8 | Yes | 183 | 6.2¢ | $6 | — |
| 123asd20x945d…e19f | No | 6 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8f5b…8430 | No | 5 | 94.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 141 | 5.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 115 | 14.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| JeffLLLLLLLLL0x0899…d645 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $3 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| Hermnann0x3285…f63d | Yes | 99 | 7.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2997924580xed6d…d964 | Yes | 93 | 10.8¢ | $3 | — |
| anothertime0xf5db…a131 | Yes | 80 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Lyf4ever0xcd2f…fe3e | Yes | 80 | 11.5¢ | $3 | — |
| mrtn080x8859…22c0 | Yes | 68 | 6.6¢ | $2 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 94.3¢ | $2 | — |
| G20260xc14b…d4e9 | Yes | 57 | 12.2¢ | $2 | — |
| ren-er20x1063…18e1 | No | 2 | 88.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Enjoy720xd7b4…6f14 | Yes | 54 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 52 | 16.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 2 | 87.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| zhuo1an90xeff3…4e66 | No | 2 | 88.0¢ | $1 | New70 settled bets |
| 17612466747560xdb4b…9486 | Yes | 34 | 6.1¢ | $1 | — |
| forrestui0x0f5a…d769 | Yes | 31 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Qiran0x0a58…b48d | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 28 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Discombobulator0x2301…d847 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 21 | 6.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| 0x8c9f…46af | Yes | 20 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| 0x8d4a…35b5 | Yes | 18 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Neak0xd658…281c | Yes | 18 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 17 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Nayara.Rocha0xcc35…c263 | Yes | 17 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xaa28…8a56 | Yes | 17 | 6.1¢ | $1 | — |
| kk77668880x922b…f959 | Yes | 16 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x79cf…a71c | Yes | 14 | 7.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| democracy0x216c…5a7f | Yes | 10 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| rtythdgr0x877f…cf54 | Yes | 8 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ledoneX0xae92…d91f | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 7 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| gdxxccb0xab08…11c0 | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | 3 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 95.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 1 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| billyliu0010x043f…d9e1 | Yes | 1 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0H00xe703…af4e | Yes | 1 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JiuMoZhiDaShi0x6e9a…d9d7 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 93.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 0 | 93.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| 16r0ob0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | 0 | 22.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 63sdf0x601f…76ad | Yes | 0 | 6.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 557 bets |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 0 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| asdssss0x2be6…e054 | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.