Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| quan0xf2ee…c574 | No | 1,077 | 92.8¢ | $1.04K | New33 settled bets |
| 0x463e…80d5 | No | 1,049 | 95.5¢ | $1.02K | — |
| xcnstrategy0xcce2…d58b | No | 311 | 88.0¢ | $301 | Proven+$13.80 per $100 · 215 bets |
| PeachBabe0xde4c…809e | No | 106 | 92.1¢ | $103 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 71 | 94.1¢ | $69 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 57 | 94.4¢ | $55 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 30 | 91.0¢ | $29 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| EvaLee0x9089…17f2 | No | 21 | 94.2¢ | $21 | — |
| goask0x1cea…f32a | Yes | 489 | 10.3¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 15 | 94.3¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| fg32340xe35a…0eba | No | 12 | 92.0¢ | $12 | — |
| axiol0x8217…4936 | No | 11 | 94.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 7,573 bets |
| 0x0df1…1392 | No | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| dongdongk0xa267…a343 | No | 11 | 94.4¢ | $10 | — |
| Grassyip0xff5c…4bf5 | No | 11 | 95.8¢ | $10 | — |
| YaoYao88880x13ff…8bd4 | No | 10 | 97.8¢ | $10 | — |
| Bob650x28a0…3528 | Yes | 284 | 3.7¢ | $9 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 272 | 4.4¢ | $9 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 250 | 4.5¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,058 bets |
| Enjoy720xd7b4…6f14 | Yes | 236 | 5.8¢ | $8 | — |
| YoshidaS0x9f2a…1e08 | No | 6 | 95.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x058f…e1d3 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | — |
| housenival0xdeab…eb6d | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xb8f3…16b3 | Yes | 160 | 6.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa9dc…01c9 | Yes | 160 | 6.3¢ | $5 | — |
| purebaby0xe23b…f147 | Yes | 155 | 4.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Nayara.Rocha0xcc35…c263 | Yes | 150 | 6.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 4 | 92.9¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| Hermnann0x3285…f63d | Yes | 104 | 7.4¢ | $3 | — |
| de850x6c48…858c | No | 3 | 89.0¢ | $3 | — |
| anothertime0xf5db…a131 | Yes | 71 | 7.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 70 | 6.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| choosea0x0d57…a83e | No | 2 | 89.0¢ | $2 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 94.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 64 | 5.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| G20260xc14b…d4e9 | Yes | 56 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 50 | 4.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | 40 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Geneziqqqqqq0x65b8…dfb0 | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 5d6e0x9bb4…ed25 | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lymer0x5afa…25f3 | No | 1 | 93.1¢ | $1 | — |
| huangshaluojing0xf18a…69b7 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| yesircd0x17e1…c397 | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | — |
| MoralesAustin0xbf60…be17 | No | 1 | 97.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfd4f…8380 | No | 1 | 98.3¢ | $1 | — |
| p3eFbv0H3b0x0603…8f62 | Yes | 30 | 12.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 30 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 30 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 1 | 97.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 26 | 6.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 23 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0x32b3…ea4a | Yes | 22 | 7.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa1b1…9bef | Yes | 20 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 17 | 5.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 7 | 12.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| 16r0ob0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | 5 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 3 | 6.4¢ | $0 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 1 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 50000Harry0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | 1 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 1 | 7.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 0 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.