Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xrc0x4004…c40b | No | 2,196 | 92.5¢ | $2.14K | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 340 bets |
| xcnstrategy0xcce2…d58b | No | 2,096 | 89.3¢ | $2.04K | Proven+$13.80 per $100 · 215 bets |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 685 | 95.5¢ | $667 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| v.l0x2a18…169f | No | 652 | 92.7¢ | $636 | — |
| Bruce09130x7460…2936 | No | 525 | 95.5¢ | $511 | New45 settled bets |
| galtjay0x49e6…290e | No | 523 | 94.0¢ | $509 | — |
| LastWhisper070x3c09…f399 | No | 465 | 95.3¢ | $453 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 380 | 98.0¢ | $370 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| werffdsfa0x7723…6989 | No | 350 | 96.7¢ | $340 | New35 settled bets |
| raymond20270x55c8…b44e | No | 313 | 93.4¢ | $305 | — |
| 0x124e…a8a9 | No | 254 | 92.5¢ | $247 | Positive+$14.10 per $100 · 373 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 166 | 94.3¢ | $162 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| jhhgvgh0x60f6…d5d1 | No | 134 | 92.0¢ | $131 | — |
| 0xbba7…fabf | No | 118 | 85.0¢ | $115 | — |
| 0x2dca…135f | No | 105 | 95.5¢ | $102 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 102 | 94.8¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| erlichbachmn0x999f…addb | No | 78 | 96.8¢ | $76 | — |
| minjiop0x9648…e872 | No | 72 | 96.3¢ | $70 | — |
| yunagramm0x33cc…66a1 | No | 56 | 96.9¢ | $55 | — |
| Stephen180x98a3…ec20 | No | 55 | 91.6¢ | $53 | — |
| rtgylaurens40xc5b1…34e2 | No | 51 | 98.9¢ | $50 | — |
| w45dffg0xe8ad…ff6a | No | 51 | 98.9¢ | $50 | — |
| pinociotan0x7837…bf3e | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | $49 | — |
| Leon88990x1934…0a4b | Yes | 1,406 | 4.9¢ | $37 | Losing−$3.25 per $100 · 122 bets |
| 0x351d…0ebe | No | 35 | 85.9¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 30 | 94.5¢ | $29 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| lion4490x6d8c…99f6 | Yes | 1,066 | 3.9¢ | $28 | Proven+$3.44 per $100 · 187 bets |
| 0xa9dc…01c9 | Yes | 1,004 | 4.5¢ | $26 | — |
| Sinned12340x2cb2…7625 | Yes | 1,000 | 4.6¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x2e7d…1a8a | Yes | 938 | 3.3¢ | $24 | — |
| polyweatheryuan0x6bf6…2529 | No | 20 | 95.7¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x33ea…9b77 | No | 18 | 93.9¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xb8f3…16b3 | Yes | 665 | 5.2¢ | $17 | — |
| 50cents0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | 553 | 2.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x6741…a966 | No | 11 | 91.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x0df1…1392 | No | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x263b…853d | Yes | 402 | 6.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xc772…bfe0 | No | 11 | 94.7¢ | $10 | — |
| TheFOMCGambler0x1693…5d20 | No | 11 | 93.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$16.41 per $100 · 184 bets |
| legspread0x0845…c4ed | Yes | 392 | 5.1¢ | $10 | — |
| swiswarm0xe37c…eb1f | Yes | 384 | 5.4¢ | $10 | — |
| wAng130x798b…e349 | No | 10 | 98.2¢ | $10 | — |
| Nayara.Rocha0xcc35…c263 | Yes | 315 | 5.8¢ | $8 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 262 | 8.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 200 | 9.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Grassyip0xff5c…4bf5 | No | 5 | 95.5¢ | $5 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | No | 5 | 87.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 20,907 bets |
| 0x648b…ee77 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8f5b…8430 | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $5 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 5 | 97.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| Digging.lil0x46b7…69e6 | Yes | 140 | 7.4¢ | $4 | — |
| zhixing0x90b5…f4ff | No | 3 | 86.0¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 118 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 3 | 96.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Jinnysun0x4b9d…801c | Yes | 111 | 4.7¢ | $3 | — |
| zhuo1an90xeff3…4e66 | No | 3 | 93.0¢ | $3 | New70 settled bets |
| berk20x146c…f5fd | Yes | 91 | 1.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xba97…7d0a | Yes | 82 | 6.0¢ | $2 | — |
| de850x6c48…858c | No | 2 | 91.0¢ | $2 | — |
| choosea0x0d57…a83e | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 2 | 95.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| natalioleisho0x664b…773a | No | 2 | 96.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 58 | 3.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| purebaby0xe23b…f147 | Yes | 55 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Enjoy720xd7b4…6f14 | Yes | 50 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| anothertime0xf5db…a131 | Yes | 50 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 48 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| inKaspaITrust0xdb16…e477 | Yes | 46 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 5d6e0x9bb4…ed25 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x058f…e1d3 | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| yohann010x6776…b11f | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| huangshaluojing0xf18a…69b7 | No | 1 | 93.4¢ | $1 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 40 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd1c8…4a2a | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Qiran0x0a58…b48d | No | 1 | 97.0¢ | $1 | — |
| koninginhetkasteel0x69bf…1737 | Yes | 35 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 102 bets |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 30 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 26 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| vger70x3a90…a100 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8d4a…35b5 | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x34dc…d280 | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| KLccKris0xf4fb…7481 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JoeKuro0xd776…396a | Yes | 6 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SupersonicStrawberry0x2302…d402 | Yes | 4 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.35 per $100 · 1,359 bets |
| 16r0ob0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | 3 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 1 | 8.2¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Seldon260x8030…7b74 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 0 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Starks.sats0xe976…68d1 | Yes | 0 | 10.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.