Market · 18 of 46 outcomes
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 1,046 | 87.8¢ | $936 | New69 settled bets |
| DontTrustMe0x0403…a7ee | No | 900 | 73.8¢ | $806 | Proven+$26.89 per $100 · 115 bets |
| Utoya0xfd0e…d918 | No | 596 | 80.4¢ | $533 | — |
| PancraceRoyer0x29d3…b2ed | No | 445 | 82.2¢ | $399 | Proven+$11.54 per $100 · 638 bets |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | No | 328 | 87.8¢ | $293 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| datperson0x5d2f…24de | No | 200 | 0.0¢ | $179 | Proven+$5.18 per $100 · 135 bets |
| RoadtoSanary0x4e94…41b6 | Yes | 1,583 | 16.3¢ | $166 | Proven+$5.41 per $100 · 243 bets |
| Toncar160x4158…ce9f | Yes | 1,133 | 24.6¢ | $119 | Positive+$17.60 per $100 · 2,043 bets |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | No | 129 | 71.9¢ | $115 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 100 | 88.0¢ | $90 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 729 | 11.2¢ | $77 | Proven+$21.40 per $100 · 1,827 bets |
| Pikassiette0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | 54 | 88.4¢ | $49 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x9037…8b08 | No | 12 | 83.0¢ | $11 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 100 | 12.6¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.93 per $100 · 8,497 bets |
| 0xba1f…4258 | Yes | 93 | 38.8¢ | $10 | — |
| rasvp0x6a60…ea7d | No | 10 | 86.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$9.03 per $100 · 554 bets |
| wildboar080xb260…9d59 | No | 6 | 84.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Nenels0x5d10…b5e7 | No | 6 | 84.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 37 | 12.4¢ | $4 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 35 | 16.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.98 per $100 · 51,555 bets |
| OdileDeray0xecc5…5fde | Yes | 34 | 15.2¢ | $4 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 23.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,418 bets |
| ivanpetrov7770x367b…2a13 | Yes | 25 | 20.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Schnorrer0xb3b2…da22 | No | 3 | 66.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 15 | 12.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$33.75 per $100 · 572 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 11 | 16.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,063 bets |
| mtm60x734b…2a2c | No | 1 | 81.0¢ | $1 | — |
| klgd100xadac…1e69 | Yes | 6 | 36.4¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 3 | 11.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 2 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 132,031 bets |
| 36dgfdgdgdg0x5314…5db9 | Yes | 0 | 20.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 63sdf0x601f…76ad | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 557 bets |
| eeeeeeret0x168f…9e00 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Radenska0x896a…cec5 | No | 0 | 89.4¢ | $0 | — |
| DeepDitch0xaa81…aaf7 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.