Market · 1 of 16 outcomes
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,355 | 62.9¢ | $1.97K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| JSG30x0191…541d | Yes | 898 | 78.5¢ | $751 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | 2,658 | 37.4¢ | $433 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 450 | 75.8¢ | $377 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 333 | 18.8¢ | $279 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| pengu-n0x55ab…4f88 | Yes | 286 | 44.6¢ | $240 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 13,703 bets |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 182 | 60.7¢ | $152 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | Yes | 126 | 60.5¢ | $105 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 491 | 21.9¢ | $80 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | Yes | 65 | 65.7¢ | $54 | — |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 39 | 39.7¢ | $33 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 35 | 61.3¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | Yes | 25 | 42.0¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| 0xbb42…6e09 | No | 110 | 56.0¢ | $18 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $17 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,630 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 19 | 69.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 12 | 45.8¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 10 | 85.1¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 41 | 32.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 8 | 1.3¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 3 | 80.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 15 | 77.0¢ | $2 | — |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 3 | 40.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 2 | 2.5¢ | $2 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 7 | 66.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | 6 | 34.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.98 per $100 · 1,237 bets |
| 60fdsf0x55dc…19a3 | No | 5 | 72.0¢ | $1 | — |
| smlptm0xdc15…cca6 | Yes | 1 | 45.1¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 3 | 31.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 3 | 39.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| boempie0xb678…299e | No | 3 | 34.6¢ | $0 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | Yes | 0 | 28.6¢ | $0 | — |
| doudouc0x74aa…2c3f | No | 2 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 0 | 41.9¢ | $0 | — |
| preciseploys0x3492…7f3b | No | 1 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 0 | 15.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| 0x11b5…8c02 | No | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | — |
| acpz0x9aa2…2b8c | Yes | 0 | 40.6¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 25.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 26.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 0x5e38…a78b | No | 0 | 56.2¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| fabriksopor0x7c39…f4f2 | No | 0 | 32.7¢ | $0 | — |
| thelighthouse13370x1bbd…3bed | No | 0 | 54.3¢ | $0 | — |
| corsur40x5c0a…a2c3 | No | 0 | 55.5¢ | $0 | — |
| coldhot0x6854…67d0 | No | 0 | 81.8¢ | $0 | — |
| HE110W0R1D0xa86f…022c | No | 0 | 21.9¢ | $0 | — |
| testacc15410xf4e9…bf77 | No | 0 | 73.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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