Market
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fawfafwafafwa0xdd15…6d82 | No | 9,670 | 87.6¢ | $9.04K | New0 settled bets |
| RewardsMafia0x3eed…cb2a | No | 6,634 | 84.5¢ | $6.2K | Losing−$7.88 per $100 · 238 bets |
| arturfml1310xfd1c…2746 | No | 4,496 | 84.5¢ | $4.2K | — |
| agagyu0x2136…ee56 | No | 2,637 | 86.2¢ | $2.47K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 178 bets |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | No | 2,600 | 80.5¢ | $2.43K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| Everestpredictions0xceca…3f67 | No | 2,591 | 84.1¢ | $2.42K | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 817 bets |
| prognozu0x8199…bb6d | No | 2,331 | 86.0¢ | $2.18K | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 2,029 | 79.9¢ | $1.9K | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| Makasimka0xaedc…8ca1 | No | 1,933 | 90.9¢ | $1.81K | — |
| Moonlightcat880x6c55…67d4 | Yes | 18,628 | 18.1¢ | $1.21K | — |
| 0x9152…69a5 | No | 1,081 | 90.4¢ | $1.01K | — |
| SolFlip0xfd7f…3e85 | No | 997 | 88.1¢ | $932 | — |
| Ym777Ym0x66ca…532d | No | 900 | 89.0¢ | $842 | New23 settled bets |
| 0xb46c…c34d | No | 738 | 82.6¢ | $690 | — |
| slev1n0xda14…61e8 | No | 723 | 86.3¢ | $676 | — |
| defdefdef0x3767…e9e8 | No | 709 | 85.2¢ | $663 | — |
| 0xcd1d…6542 | No | 589 | 85.4¢ | $550 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 577 | 85.0¢ | $539 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,079 bets |
| Admaers0xd483…b398 | No | 572 | 86.5¢ | $535 | — |
| Livine0xce4a…8b25 | No | 556 | 90.3¢ | $520 | — |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 481 | 84.5¢ | $450 | Proven+$10.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
| timoha910xced4…d1dd | No | 440 | 91.3¢ | $411 | — |
| RedWarriour0x6849…b15d | No | 422 | 93.6¢ | $395 | — |
| 0x4e83…a81f | No | 357 | 88.3¢ | $334 | — |
| 0x1a14…0835 | Yes | 4,664 | 20.8¢ | $303 | — |
| TheWorldGoesCrazy0xaf75…262f | No | 320 | 81.6¢ | $299 | — |
| sha-mt0x2e4f…d3a5 | Yes | 4,582 | 18.0¢ | $298 | — |
| SomerandomD0x2db9…33f1 | No | 315 | 87.4¢ | $295 | Proven+$5.06 per $100 · 100 bets |
| onthewave0xc302…f388 | No | 291 | 86.5¢ | $272 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 201 bets |
| hommage0xfd47…000f | No | 270 | 78.8¢ | $252 | — |
| Shadalion0x07ee…36c5 | No | 245 | 92.1¢ | $229 | — |
| nicolasGurr0x848d…35e6 | No | 240 | 80.3¢ | $224 | — |
| willsom0xaa99…dbbf | No | 238 | 76.0¢ | $223 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 782 bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 230 | 92.6¢ | $215 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| Lavitacontinua0xe6aa…993c | No | 200 | 81.0¢ | $187 | — |
| southbets0xec4e…d9db | No | 200 | 93.0¢ | $187 | — |
| John.Gault0x8fa0…72d6 | No | 200 | 86.0¢ | $187 | — |
| TexasCowboy0x45e5…715a | No | 186 | 91.3¢ | $174 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 180 | 82.6¢ | $168 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| 0x0dcc…d87c | Yes | 2,417 | 16.3¢ | $157 | Proven+$7.25 per $100 · 184 bets |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | No | 166 | 81.3¢ | $155 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| 3sl0x9f54…b1ab | No | 162 | 83.6¢ | $151 | — |
| QuantMcLovin0x3642…757d | No | 150 | 78.0¢ | $140 | — |
| MerhabaKardesim0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | 1,878 | 10.4¢ | $122 | Positive+$4.39 per $100 · 1,103 bets |
| Get100x904f…50c6 | Yes | 1,829 | 17.5¢ | $119 | — |
| cupr1te0xa908…ee85 | No | 125 | 84.5¢ | $117 | — |
| 0xbe88…f1ea | Yes | 1,777 | 11.7¢ | $116 | — |
| GaioMario0x94d0…9e65 | Yes | 1,723 | 13.9¢ | $112 | — |
| dojdik-kap0xa4e3…5a09 | No | 118 | 85.0¢ | $111 | — |
| exelent0x3bfe…07a5 | No | 111 | 90.4¢ | $104 | — |
| Poplach0x28c9…0e29 | No | 111 | 90.2¢ | $103 | — |
| levencomp0x0474…2894 | Yes | 1,571 | 19.1¢ | $102 | — |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 1,557 | 14.5¢ | $101 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | 96 | 84.5¢ | $90 | Losing−$6.12 per $100 · 2,243 bets |
| cyrilliusg0x37f0…79cb | No | 70 | 94.2¢ | $65 | — |
| yanchik0x71d0…b44c | No | 66 | 90.4¢ | $61 | — |
| 0xfe85…142d | Yes | 833 | 16.8¢ | $54 | — |
| 0x169b…30c9 | Yes | 790 | 19.0¢ | $51 | — |
| pollution0x4574…ab3e | No | 50 | 83.0¢ | $47 | — |
| Bobic0xe1e2…9629 | No | 50 | 82.6¢ | $47 | — |
| Serega-pro0xcfb5…7d2d | Yes | 714 | 14.5¢ | $46 | — |
| Ogre-Magi0x99f0…649f | No | 48 | 84.5¢ | $45 | — |
| PashaAsOracul0x4fbf…f319 | Yes | 596 | 20.1¢ | $39 | New62 settled bets |
| k-real0x3d21…6874 | Yes | 588 | 17.5¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x09d2…a3ac | No | 40 | 81.8¢ | $37 | Losing−$11.06 per $100 · 306 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 500 | 9.0¢ | $33 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,942 bets |
| alex27270xe498…f095 | Yes | 464 | 18.3¢ | $30 | — |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 371 | 17.6¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 300 | 13.2¢ | $20 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| rocky420240x391d…def1 | Yes | 298 | 17.3¢ | $19 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| 0x685d…1f17 | Yes | 258 | 12.0¢ | $17 | — |
| HardZix0xf30a…3583 | Yes | 200 | 16.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Jjw0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | 182 | 19.6¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,249 bets |
| PedroGonzales0x21ba…408f | Yes | 160 | 12.8¢ | $10 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 148 | 7.5¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| 0x679b…d2b5 | Yes | 137 | 22.5¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xef70…0a64 | Yes | 120 | 8.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Volodymyr-Zelensky0x306f…aa99 | Yes | 107 | 10.4¢ | $7 | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 214 bets |
| PredictionMMayr0x8f9d…5e06 | Yes | 107 | 9.3¢ | $7 | — |
| m.gringo0xfaa1…bf41 | Yes | 106 | 13.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xe437…bcea | Yes | 105 | 19.6¢ | $7 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 105 | 12.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| BenjaminNetAnYahoo0xfb46…f68b | Yes | 102 | 17.2¢ | $7 | — |
| Katmaveldacitmeck0xa3ba…95e2 | Yes | 100 | 16.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$33.64 per $100 · 287 bets |
| 0x1cda…cee7 | Yes | 71 | 14.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8f5a…a704 | Yes | 71 | 14.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1429…e480 | Yes | 67 | 15.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xe9f9…cdf1 | Yes | 59 | 17.6¢ | $4 | — |
| kejsi0xb64f…dc88 | Yes | 50 | 20.6¢ | $3 | — |
| vad270xe0c1…562b | Yes | 49 | 12.6¢ | $3 | — |
| yurii1k0x9714…214e | Yes | 40 | 12.4¢ | $3 | — |
| tertius0x402b…5181 | Yes | 36 | 19.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0d55…1c1b | Yes | 33 | 15.6¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xafe3…683d | Yes | 29 | 17.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6c6c…8864 | Yes | 26 | 20.1¢ | $2 | — |
| glchst0xa370…6b5b | Yes | 25 | 9.3¢ | $2 | — |
| alexgone0xda34…91da | Yes | 25 | 21.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf24f…80e3 | Yes | 25 | 10.0¢ | $2 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 23 | 22.7¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.