Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTOrski10xb3af…84fc | No | 650 | 90.5¢ | $588 | New31 settled bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 500 | 89.6¢ | $453 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 500 | 89.0¢ | $453 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 301 | 90.4¢ | $273 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 1,564 | 10.6¢ | $149 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| 0xd8fa…581f | No | 158 | 88.6¢ | $143 | — |
| 0xa60f…70f0 | No | 112 | 89.4¢ | $102 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 102 bets |
| kuasuo0x06dc…32b7 | No | 72 | 82.6¢ | $65 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 275 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 662 | 15.0¢ | $63 | — |
| helpinghans0x6944…7275 | No | 28 | 81.0¢ | $26 | — |
| Alegrandebig0x3773…f0dd | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 7,087 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 20 | 91.3¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Heyheyy0xc925…f488 | No | 15 | 90.4¢ | $14 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 70 | 12.1¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 6 | 88.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| cy6erpunker0x2783…8321 | No | 5 | 91.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 703 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 14.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| MoonNight1230x2720…30e1 | No | 3 | 92.3¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 22 | 14.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | Yes | 1 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd7af…f22e | No | 0 | 87.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Fain0x0262…a9d2 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,419 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 88.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,831 bets |
| matbobpol0x5006…48ca | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 1,306 bets |
| 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,807 bets |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.