Market · 2 of 17 outcomes
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 17 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| royalestake0xfb68…a240 | No | 5,000 | 80.0¢ | $3.98K | Proven+$9.57 per $100 · 906 bets |
| SweetChariot0x562b…dc09 | No | 3,205 | 75.1¢ | $2.55K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 3,769 | 20.1¢ | $773 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 680 | 75.4¢ | $540 | Proven+$2.94 per $100 · 2,404 bets |
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | 2,117 | 20.6¢ | $434 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 3,618 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 1,671 | 22.8¢ | $342 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,154 bets |
| penguinec0xc33d…0d40 | Yes | 1,053 | 20.8¢ | $216 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 13,917 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 607 | 22.9¢ | $124 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| 0xd771…489f | Yes | 430 | 29.6¢ | $88 | — |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | Yes | 384 | 20.9¢ | $79 | — |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | Yes | 295 | 23.0¢ | $60 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 235 | 25.3¢ | $48 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 150 | 13.3¢ | $31 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 5,310 bets |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 129 | 19.2¢ | $26 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 122 | 18.1¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| laborday250x3942…22d9 | Yes | 105 | 21.4¢ | $22 | New68 settled bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 105 | 20.9¢ | $21 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 103 | 17.6¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 6,285 bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 97 | 22.1¢ | $20 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 72 | 9.2¢ | $15 | — |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 71 | 22.3¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.57 per $100 · 3,812 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 18 | 80.8¢ | $14 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| uuuuuwu0xe95c…8f89 | Yes | 60 | 17.7¢ | $12 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 45 | 22.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 36 | 10.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 26 | 30.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 25 | 4.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 6 | 83.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | Yes | 20 | 15.4¢ | $4 | Proven+$10.89 per $100 · 903 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 27.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x8144…8472 | Yes | 20 | 37.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 20 | 24.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 20 | 30.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 5 | 40.0¢ | $4 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 4 | 70.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 14 | 20.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 3 | 77.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 8 | 4.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,638 bets |
| WilliMekkit0x8031…c84c | Yes | 7 | 20.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 9,595 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 2 | 84.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 5 | 38.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,036 bets |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | Yes | 4 | 20.8¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 4 | 17.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 3 | 16.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | Yes | 3 | 32.8¢ | $1 | — |
| pogb0xc03f…249d | Yes | 1 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 16.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 0 | 77.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | 1 | 29.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0c9b…e768 | No | 0 | 80.8¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | No | 0 | 67.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 81.7¢ | $0 | — |
| lizlocks0x8b1c…1ec7 | Yes | 0 | 19.8¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420250x8929…733e | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 309 bets |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 0 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 0 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 16,779 bets |
| sgtmike0x839f…d3f5 | No | 0 | 80.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.62 per $100 · 13,727 bets |
| LS-ship0xb141…aa3b | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 82.4¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 0 | 25.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8a63bE6F97A1dC4E83f5B2A7C19D4E60x8a63…1c02 | Yes | 0 | 26.2¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 18 shares each side · Show
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