Market · 14 of 22 outcomes
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 143 | 98.8¢ | $143 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 93 | 96.6¢ | $93 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 99.7¢ | $80 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 38 | 99.6¢ | $38 | — |
| GeorgiiRach0x296a…fb2f | No | 30 | 93.0¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 1,466 bets |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 27 | 99.7¢ | $27 | — |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 3,229 | 0.6¢ | $18 | Positive+$3.84 per $100 · 8,686 bets |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | No | 15 | 92.0¢ | $15 | — |
| orifcontex0xa002…e840 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xdcfe…b7d3 | Yes | 2,119 | 0.7¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 1,787 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$13.28 per $100 · 8,633 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,596 | 7.6¢ | $9 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,224 | 3.3¢ | $7 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| 0xblocked0x347b…c9bc | Yes | 1,187 | 1.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 12,117 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,087 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 6 | 99.7¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 978 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 5 | 98.0¢ | $5 | — |
| highdri0xe940…0fc4 | Yes | 909 | 1.1¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 882 | 2.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| DonPatatoPatatero0xcc74…f5aa | Yes | 842 | 1.1¢ | $5 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 5 | 97.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| stavr0x5c22…e4db | Yes | 700 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 151 bets |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 4 | 98.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 3 | 99.6¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 484 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 390 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,847 bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 388 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 350 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,566 bets |
| kaitemo0x7b0f…145c | Yes | 300 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 202 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| gwei123330xd870…85a2 | Yes | 170 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 1 | 98.7¢ | $1 | — |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | Yes | 138 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ply-top3-clost-twet0x0b4c…4277 | Yes | 138 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ply-h-profit-has-winprice0x6f6e…4ec7 | Yes | 138 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 137 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 134 | 4.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 95 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xad26…8639 | Yes | 49 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 43 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 38 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| iwishthisworks0x51a1…2335 | Yes | 35 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 18 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | 10 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 10 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 95.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | Yes | 5 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 5 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,366 bets |
| superstrat0x0dca…e890 | Yes | 2 | 6.4¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 2 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.87 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| 0xd011…e928 | Yes | 1 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mapleggg0x6bdc…6fcd | Yes | 0 | 4.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xadb5…e421 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 4.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,231 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.