Market · 10 of 20 outcomes
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | No | 203 | 98.6¢ | $203 | — |
| crossx0x976e…ecf3 | No | 68 | 90.8¢ | $68 | — |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 55 | 85.0¢ | $55 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,036 bets |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 33 | 92.0¢ | $33 | — |
| trendlinedev0x14eb…b9cb | No | 2 | 88.0¢ | $2 | — |
| taka4ni0xf21b…894e | Yes | 417 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 280 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 172 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 120 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 112 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 112 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,627 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 97 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 75 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 75 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 67 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.73 per $100 · 59,108+ bets · updating |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| HaxterNair0xbfd2…2b3d | Yes | 56 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 54 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 51 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 47 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| alohajp0xbeda…8bef | Yes | 38 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 37 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 30 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 30 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,197 bets |
| 0xd7e3…8327 | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| dognamedreggi0x9704…8f9e | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 15 | 13.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 12 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 11 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 10 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 10,703 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| makePace670xc413…2ca4 | Yes | 8 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 8 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 4 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed89…647b | Yes | 1 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 0 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 0 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.