Market · 12 of 19 outcomes
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 343,099 | 0.1¢ | $172 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| vzxcvczx0x8ef3…1a90 | No | 94 | 99.9¢ | $94 | — |
| xaxsaxa0xd8e8…1580 | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| qrreqq0xd2ed…7971 | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 153,450 | 1.3¢ | $77 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 111,781 | 1.3¢ | $56 | Positive+$64.56 per $100 · 592 bets |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 68,999 | 0.6¢ | $34 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 62,601 | 1.1¢ | $31 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| ofgoodtsjustmoney0xd5b5…3364 | Yes | 55,000 | 0.6¢ | $28 | Positive+$10.78 per $100 · 166 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 49,413 | 1.1¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 49,400 | 0.6¢ | $25 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 44,304 | 1.1¢ | $22 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,170 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 38,087 | 1.1¢ | $19 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 36,728 | 0.5¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 36,079 | 1.1¢ | $18 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 29,179 | 1.1¢ | $15 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 28,502 | 1.1¢ | $14 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| CadenSara0x7d22…abeb | No | 14 | 97.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 27,261 | 1.2¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 26,418 | 1.1¢ | $13 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 22,517 | 1.1¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| Chengcheng10xb267…e784 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 19,543 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 18,688 | 1.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 29,929+ bets · updating |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 18,442 | 1.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 14,743 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 13,773 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.22 per $100 · 20,528 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 12,545 | 1.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,632 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | No | 5 | 96.9¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 9,193 | 1.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$14.11 per $100 · 340 bets |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 7,937 | 1.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,381 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 5,937 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 5,572 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 5,127 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| arjennnnn0x24de…83cb | Yes | 5,000 | 1.3¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 4,922 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0 | Yes | 4,800 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| Baddie0xc1ff…25f1 | Yes | 4,550 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x792d…af4d | No | 2 | 99.6¢ | $2 | — |
| foot160x5617…09cc | No | 2 | 94.2¢ | $2 | — |
| causezp750x7aca…cb91 | No | 2 | 94.1¢ | $2 | — |
| betrayDash0xbf4d…3f89 | No | 2 | 94.1¢ | $2 | — |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 2 | 97.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 3,661 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 3,240 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| hortikkk0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$25.13 per $100 · 1,281 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 2,727 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 2,575 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| AiBets0x2137…0677 | Yes | 2,500 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 2,524 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 2,412 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 2,401 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 2,398 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | Yes | 2,331 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 3,744 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 2,239 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 2,215 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| 0x1746…6082 | No | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc44d…5ed7 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| sciuboi0xd6b6…342b | Yes | 2,135 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 584 bets |
| loci970x3462…c52c | No | 1 | 95.8¢ | $1 | — |
| melt-absurd0x3352…df64 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| uphold56530x53d5…e6a9 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| cheese5610x702c…bd94 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mesh040x7094…2770 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Essay020x7969…c31c | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| good-roast-bird0x8aa7…6638 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| identify-ribbon0x9e74…cd4c | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| modeley290xa654…cb78 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| code290xa8de…e902 | No | 1 | 93.7¢ | $1 | — |
| offerug690xc56a…9de7 | No | 1 | 93.7¢ | $1 | — |
| wait120xefec…4938 | No | 1 | 93.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Luxurybehind0xff36…f572 | No | 1 | 93.7¢ | $1 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 1,301 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 773 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 437 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 0 | 92.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AIDROPP0x6f2a…9551 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 29,730+ bets · updating |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 30 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| falsevf790xa7b0…3bef | Yes | 1 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.