Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa894…53da | No | 2,808 | 89.3¢ | $2.76K | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 181 bets |
| spec-tater0xf70e…97f0 | No | 2,045 | 89.3¢ | $2.01K | — |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No | 1,228 | 89.2¢ | $1.21K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| pako0x71ed…d338 | No | 1,023 | 90.0¢ | $1.01K | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 1,000 | 75.8¢ | $984 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 395 | 95.1¢ | $389 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 340 | 96.7¢ | $334 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 330 | 83.8¢ | $324 | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 271 | 95.4¢ | $267 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 197 | 76.0¢ | $194 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| gummy-usb0xdf81…697d | No | 167 | 90.4¢ | $164 | — |
| temptrader0xe2a6…446c | No | 120 | 87.0¢ | $118 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | No | 85 | 93.0¢ | $83 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| marcelobravo0x36b6…e523 | No | 72 | 91.0¢ | $71 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 65 | 95.6¢ | $64 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 61 | 94.5¢ | $60 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| Slowroasted0xc30c…6509 | No | 60 | 86.0¢ | $59 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 5,633 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 55 | 95.0¢ | $54 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| gatorrqw0x1e26…2020 | No | 54 | 36.0¢ | $53 | — |
| Tpezaske0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | 3,034 | 19.5¢ | $50 | New39 settled bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | No | 50 | 93.3¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| sd23330xd053…f7c0 | Yes | 2,700 | 11.8¢ | $45 | — |
| Trashstar0x87ba…9fd1 | No | 25 | 84.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Imbarus0x0f46…bfb3 | Yes | 1,323 | 12.6¢ | $22 | — |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xb886…72fc | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $20 | — |
| bahtman0x8170…45a7 | No | 15 | 94.9¢ | $15 | New49 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 15 | 93.8¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| cenatograma0x9290…832c | Yes | 667 | 9.1¢ | $11 | — |
| micheal15730x26cd…f874 | No | 11 | 86.0¢ | $11 | — |
| erbulp0xa070…8cbe | No | 11 | 85.0¢ | $10 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 10 | 97.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| Pauliemarkets0x0377…1833 | Yes | 393 | 10.6¢ | $6 | New49 settled bets |
| Alibaba540x567c…ae11 | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 5 | 94.9¢ | $5 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| barenverge0x4eb6…5e8a | No | 5 | 91.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| p5rlmarjorie0xd2a9…f275 | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf52b…bdf5 | Yes | 266 | 15.0¢ | $4 | — |
| bitconnect0xed49…2511 | Yes | 250 | 6.0¢ | $4 | — |
| b790x4d9d…eabf | No | 4 | 93.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Whaddaheck0x5275…ea79 | Yes | 211 | 7.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 200 | 16.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Y8vBQfh0x809f…bde1 | No | 3 | 92.0¢ | $3 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 164 | 8.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| ljkilian0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | 134 | 8.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 133 | 2.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| SiliconToken0x53c6…7f60 | Yes | 122 | 16.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 119 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$13.19 per $100 · 8,595 bets |
| xoanonxo0x368c…3e87 | Yes | 100 | 15.0¢ | $2 | — |
| PickyF0xb5aa…c200 | Yes | 100 | 15.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x45e0…c059 | Yes | 91 | 11.5¢ | $1 | — |
| BECAUSE-I-F.CK-THE-FISH0x35d2…b3c1 | No | 1 | 94.1¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 73 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| IbnKhaldun0xa4bc…026c | Yes | 70 | 10.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.23 per $100 · 341 bets |
| 0xfb32…da43 | Yes | 63 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf320…93c0 | Yes | 61 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Flexmoneydrizzle0x927b…8091 | Yes | 50 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 50 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 46 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hitfar0x16b4…168f | No | 1 | 78.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$11.02 per $100 · 1,018 bets |
| 0x5c1e…1719 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| h-hu0x8999…06d7 | Yes | 31 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 27 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| 420210x0d42…f124 | No | 0 | 94.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 9,218 bets |
| 0x1178…69bb | Yes | 20 | 16.0¢ | $0 | New11 settled bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | Yes | 18 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| 0x37cd…f05f | Yes | 9 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 8 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 5 | 7.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 4 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | 4 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | 2 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 0x9ef0…f055 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| daviqq0xda20…cb8d | No | 0 | 92.6¢ | $0 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 0 | 4.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 0 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 0 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| PX53000xd6ee…37a2 | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0ea6…f94e | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 0 | 8.6¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | 0 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.