Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 24,022 | 82.9¢ | $24K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| pako0x71ed…d338 | No | 4,720 | 91.4¢ | $4.71K | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| 0xa894…53da | No | 4,490 | 87.6¢ | $4.48K | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 181 bets |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No | 2,000 | 85.5¢ | $1.99K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| freemath0xc446…0bb4 | No | 788 | 94.3¢ | $786 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 495 | 78.7¢ | $494 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| timi0070xe549…7d86 | No | 185 | 94.3¢ | $184 | — |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | No | 121 | 91.8¢ | $120 | — |
| Oskoreiter0x4518…1cac | No | 100 | 94.8¢ | $100 | — |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | No | 75 | 90.0¢ | $75 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| temptrader0xe2a6…446c | No | 65 | 82.0¢ | $65 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 49 | 99.8¢ | $49 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 43 | 82.8¢ | $43 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 33 | 88.1¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 30 | 97.8¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| cabbag0x2af1…d858 | No | 20 | 90.9¢ | $20 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | No | 20 | 89.5¢ | $20 | — |
| DualDelta0x1543…baaf | Yes | 6,096 | 15.8¢ | $18 | Proven+$9.89 per $100 · 324 bets |
| pouu630x8d68…e248 | No | 13 | 83.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Whaddaheck0x5275…ea79 | Yes | 4,372 | 14.5¢ | $13 | — |
| emrico0x6131…fd16 | Yes | 4,352 | 14.1¢ | $13 | New57 settled bets |
| Tpezaske0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | 3,417 | 19.9¢ | $10 | New39 settled bets |
| sd23330xd053…f7c0 | Yes | 3,100 | 16.7¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xdb0b…0157 | No | 9 | 80.0¢ | $9 | — |
| jql-ml-pred-v29c7j0xb5db…f0e4 | No | 8 | 82.7¢ | $8 | — |
| No-risk-no-bisc0xb7c0…e24e | Yes | 2,608 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x3158…9df1 | No | 8 | 80.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x5a89…df45 | No | 8 | 80.0¢ | $7 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 2,296 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
| FrankieX0x3a95…343b | Yes | 2,268 | 22.3¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x8f12…456d | No | 6 | 80.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xc055…46c9 | No | 6 | 80.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x09a9…45d3 | No | 6 | 80.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Peremiriya0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | 1,983 | 9.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Homolulu80xaf74…2c82 | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 5 | 81.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| 0x580c…6db8 | No | 5 | 80.0¢ | $5 | — |
| guanlan1020x98c8…20be | No | 5 | 89.0¢ | $5 | — |
| donaldk0x29bd…634d | No | 5 | 85.0¢ | $5 | — |
| thauleonard0xf3e2…a277 | No | 5 | 84.0¢ | $5 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 1,051 | 12.7¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| Imbarus0x0f46…bfb3 | Yes | 1,000 | 16.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5287…3a16 | No | 2 | 91.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Y8vBQfh0x809f…bde1 | No | 2 | 86.0¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 642 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| BeefDerky0x5787…5a48 | Yes | 555 | 9.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 510 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 84.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 482 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | No | 1 | 92.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Dsl0070070xef27…600f | No | 1 | 88.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Xixihaha0080xf609…e68b | No | 1 | 88.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Tomer120xb442…bed7 | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 420210x0d42…f124 | No | 1 | 83.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 9,208 bets |
| 0x5c1e…1719 | No | 1 | 84.0¢ | $1 | — |
| echo1651350x2ff4…17d1 | Yes | 255 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf52b…bdf5 | Yes | 250 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ssssss12230x9cfd…dfe7 | No | 1 | 82.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3d77…7786 | Yes | 235 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| bitconnect0xed49…2511 | Yes | 200 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PickyF0xb5aa…c200 | Yes | 200 | 11.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Pauliemarkets0x0377…1833 | Yes | 158 | 13.2¢ | $0 | New49 settled bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 140 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | Yes | 128 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 85 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 81 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 67 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | Yes | 64 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| omnibus-00c8ef0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | 60 | 17.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.32 per $100 · 15,729 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| betterbetgood0x5a74…36c4 | Yes | 45 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6337…bf2a | Yes | 43 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| TheSuperCheiii0x2c6f…5ddf | Yes | 30 | 17.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0dac…082f | Yes | 29 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| imp87500x003d…a605 | Yes | 26 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x98c3…1ee4 | Yes | 25 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1178…69bb | Yes | 20 | 19.5¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 19 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 19 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| 0x7d02…8c95 | Yes | 13 | 19.6¢ | $0 | — |
| kak-old0x237f…50ed | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2572…5e27 | Yes | 9 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4e86…3fff | Yes | 8 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdfb2…dc99 | Yes | 8 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfb24…bffd | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 7 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x763f…b210 | Yes | 6 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x887d…bf10 | Yes | 6 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| K1mY0g40xddf6…2117 | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xccf3…7627 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| sorcerer.010x7c15…c9db | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 538 bets |
| 0xa6df…1340 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.