Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magamyman0x4dfd…6e4a | No | 6,000 | 78.0¢ | $5.86K | Proven+$49.79 per $100 · 102 bets |
| 0xa894…53da | No | 4,467 | 78.5¢ | $4.36K | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 181 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 2,500 | 77.2¢ | $2.44K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No | 2,000 | 75.9¢ | $1.95K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 1,080 | 55.9¢ | $1.05K | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| pako0x71ed…d338 | No | 667 | 77.6¢ | $651 | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 500 | 97.8¢ | $488 | — |
| Oskoreiter0x4518…1cac | No | 469 | 92.9¢ | $458 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 308 | 93.0¢ | $301 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 264 | 90.5¢ | $258 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| Whaddaheck0x5275…ea79 | Yes | 6,933 | 22.7¢ | $166 | — |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | No | 150 | 91.1¢ | $146 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| 0xe987…b9c5 | No | 147 | 73.3¢ | $144 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 128 | 93.0¢ | $125 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 115 | 79.9¢ | $112 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| cloudjin0xab1c…4c3d | No | 64 | 94.1¢ | $63 | — |
| 0x139e…4ce2 | No | 58 | 71.5¢ | $56 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 56 | 77.6¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Tpezaske0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | 2,223 | 37.4¢ | $53 | New39 settled bets |
| kailina06440x33cd…baf7 | No | 50 | 94.2¢ | $49 | — |
| oceanping0xbd23…789a | No | 39 | 93.7¢ | $38 | — |
| MrDraco0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | 1,330 | 7.9¢ | $32 | New3 settled bets |
| koninginhetuniverse0xa579…aad0 | Yes | 1,048 | 3.8¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 2,326 bets |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 20 | 89.9¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| Joebama0xb9cf…75d1 | Yes | 766 | 24.6¢ | $18 | — |
| DualDelta0x1543…baaf | Yes | 739 | 17.8¢ | $18 | Proven+$9.89 per $100 · 324 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 640 | 2.1¢ | $15 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| voep0vkmgs9o0xb333…e295 | No | 14 | 70.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x936c…5523 | No | 14 | 67.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x3d77…7786 | Yes | 560 | 25.1¢ | $13 | — |
| 50cents0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | 545 | 2.3¢ | $13 | — |
| ljkilian0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | 406 | 7.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x8989…54a8 | Yes | 359 | 13.9¢ | $9 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 357 | 17.3¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| leectram0xc185…7020 | Yes | 293 | 9.1¢ | $7 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | Yes | 257 | 2.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | Yes | 250 | 20.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9184…de17 | No | 6 | 91.6¢ | $5 | — |
| deckarddroid0xae58…666f | Yes | 210 | 23.8¢ | $5 | — |
| mantou110x54db…0174 | Yes | 207 | 16.3¢ | $5 | — |
| TooYoungToWin0x28ab…2048 | No | 5 | 70.0¢ | $5 | — |
| barenverge0x4eb6…5e8a | No | 5 | 71.0¢ | $5 | — |
| acelerao0x8f20…875c | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| guanlan1020x98c8…20be | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ktv.020xeab5…f570 | No | 5 | 96.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Pauliemarkets0x0377…1833 | Yes | 200 | 7.8¢ | $5 | New49 settled bets |
| 0x846a…8166 | Yes | 200 | 4.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Homolulu80xaf74…2c82 | No | 5 | 86.0¢ | $5 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | No | 4 | 69.3¢ | $4 | — |
| ren-er20x1063…18e1 | No | 4 | 79.0¢ | $4 | — |
| bitconnect0xed49…2511 | Yes | 150 | 20.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 4 | 36.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 138 | 4.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| BeefDerky0x5787…5a48 | Yes | 127 | 8.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 3 | 89.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x0541…e343 | No | 3 | 67.0¢ | $3 | — |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | Yes | 121 | 6.4¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 100 | 3.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf52b…bdf5 | Yes | 99 | 40.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 78 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 78 | 20.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| R1K1MO10xf069…a846 | No | 2 | 93.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x796c…e9cd | No | 2 | 66.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x336f…7935 | No | 1 | 70.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8070…7397 | Yes | 58 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| svrcek0x9580…2f31 | Yes | 56 | 30.2¢ | $1 | — |
| new-account-test2220xfe91…4cd3 | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 50 | 4.1¢ | $1 | — |
| patysaurus0xb1b7…0373 | Yes | 50 | 6.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf71d…d9c3 | No | 1 | 87.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9846…1dcf | Yes | 43 | 23.0¢ | $1 | — |
| FourSeconds0x5212…3a52 | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 1 | 77.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 40 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| 0x7cf0…a12e | Yes | 38 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 37 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| mikavovacz0x8605…6336 | Yes | 29 | 35.0¢ | $1 | — |
| echo1651350x2ff4…17d1 | Yes | 28 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Toyflagman0xed3c…8ae5 | Yes | 22 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5c51…8f26 | Yes | 21 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cabbag0x2af1…d858 | Yes | 20 | 6.4¢ | $0 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 20 | 32.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| 0x7d02…8c95 | Yes | 19 | 39.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 420210x0d42…f124 | No | 0 | 90.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 9,208 bets |
| 0x1178…69bb | Yes | 18 | 23.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5287…3a16 | No | 0 | 91.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x02db…7885 | Yes | 15 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 14 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| imp87500x003d…a605 | Yes | 14 | 37.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5c1e…1719 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
| analogicpp0x1700…b560 | Yes | 11 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 90.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 98.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| ImHereForTheRewards0x3a86…dea8 | No | 0 | 82.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 6,444 bets |
| K1mY0g40xddf6…2117 | No | 0 | 73.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.