Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa894…53da | No | 1,248 | 96.3¢ | $1.22K | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 181 bets |
| ljkilian0xe6b5…d5c6 | No | 947 | 90.2¢ | $930 | — |
| leectram0xc185…7020 | No | 293 | 82.2¢ | $287 | — |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 286 | 96.0¢ | $281 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 257 | 47.1¢ | $252 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,131 bets |
| Aleks10x347f…702e | No | 210 | 90.5¢ | $206 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 186 | 86.2¢ | $183 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| leiond0x1540…5204 | No | 101 | 98.3¢ | $99 | — |
| Oskoreiter0x4518…1cac | No | 90 | 94.6¢ | $88 | — |
| lemonriver0x685b…bcd3 | No | 85 | 96.0¢ | $84 | — |
| brianhaon0x81a0…dd29 | No | 50 | 94.7¢ | $49 | — |
| felixmo0x1d3a…e8a3 | No | 34 | 96.0¢ | $33 | — |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | No | 34 | 98.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 31 | 97.6¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 30 | 93.6¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| Pauliemarkets0x0377…1833 | Yes | 932 | 3.9¢ | $17 | New49 settled bets |
| plsnolose0xbb75…f496 | Yes | 829 | 12.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xe489…f816 | No | 14 | 96.0¢ | $14 | — |
| mamofaker240x5e50…c665 | No | 11 | 66.1¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xafa6…9a51 | Yes | 570 | 5.0¢ | $11 | — |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | No | 10 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| mystery0x323d…781c | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.80 per $100 · 680 bets |
| 0x60a1…61e5 | No | 9 | 96.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Homolulu80xaf74…2c82 | No | 9 | 96.2¢ | $9 | — |
| Imbarus0x0f46…bfb3 | Yes | 482 | 6.5¢ | $9 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 9 | 95.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| 0xf52b…bdf5 | Yes | 455 | 8.8¢ | $8 | — |
| allomonallo0x7125…7cbe | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x67aa…6299 | No | 5 | 96.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x6936…78c9 | No | 5 | 96.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2be0…6dee | No | 5 | 97.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3cff…6fbd | No | 5 | 98.5¢ | $5 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | No | 5 | 92.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 20,907 bets |
| TrumpTradee30x8e18…f9ff | No | 4 | 96.8¢ | $4 | — |
| jasonmy0xed20…ca57 | No | 4 | 92.5¢ | $4 | — |
| roselineity0x54de…4dcd | No | 4 | 93.3¢ | $4 | — |
| aliceyh0x6a3b…f5ca | No | 4 | 93.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Y8vBQfh0x809f…bde1 | No | 4 | 96.0¢ | $4 | — |
| jowitriviani0x8788…8aa8 | No | 4 | 96.6¢ | $4 | — |
| rhevelyn0x6f6f…bd48 | No | 4 | 93.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x90b0…cf23 | No | 3 | 93.2¢ | $3 | — |
| IreneHalea0x50b6…b058 | No | 3 | 93.4¢ | $3 | — |
| aerwchristel0xc237…b9b9 | No | 3 | 93.5¢ | $3 | — |
| ujmoharry0x0bae…1780 | No | 3 | 95.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 151 | 2.6¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 6,087 bets |
| StrongReid0xaeb7…95c7 | No | 2 | 93.0¢ | $2 | — |
| christinex0xd256…dbad | No | 2 | 93.4¢ | $2 | — |
| moonrise-clump0x48c4…19e5 | No | 2 | 93.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf4fe…f6e7 | No | 2 | 96.4¢ | $2 | — |
| bitconnect0xed49…2511 | Yes | 100 | 3.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 96 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| mvmca16110x3744…d422 | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| masterminator0xad9f…8145 | No | 1 | 96.0¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 55 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| KOR880x69c5…406a | No | 1 | 96.5¢ | $1 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 1 | 90.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf320…93c0 | Yes | 50 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 42 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 39 | 4.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 35 | 5.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| Toyflagman0xed3c…8ae5 | Yes | 32 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 30 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 27 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Eyebrows0x63f1…6272 | Yes | 21 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| descent0xd399…d13e | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1178…69bb | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | New11 settled bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | Yes | 11 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Niromero0xeb84…5685 | Yes | 11 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | Yes | 7 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | Yes | 5 | 6.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | 4 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| third-eye0xdc4f…4652 | No | 0 | 95.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 653 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| 0x1eaa…dcbe | Yes | 1 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 94.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 0 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 0 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$39.17 per $100 · 1,741 bets |
| ImHereForTheRewards0x3a86…dea8 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 6,444 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.