Market · 2 of 10 outcomes
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 16 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 24,196 | 79.5¢ | $20.9K | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| 0xc52c…ac6e | Yes | 84,761 | 16.6¢ | $11.7K | New0 settled bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 13,504 | 83.7¢ | $11.6K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,392 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 11,337 | 83.5¢ | $9.77K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 9,151 | 91.9¢ | $7.89K | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 6,000 | 77.0¢ | $5.17K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 5,984 | 84.9¢ | $5.16K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | No | 5,539 | 85.9¢ | $4.77K | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,456 bets |
| Siddhartha10xc95e…1288 | No | 5,472 | 80.7¢ | $4.72K | New98 settled bets |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | No | 5,220 | 89.7¢ | $4.5K | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| JGripen0xa5fb…5598 | Yes | 32,563 | 14.2¢ | $4.49K | New4 settled bets |
| ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1 | No | 4,830 | 83.5¢ | $4.16K | New55 settled bets |
| The-Joker0x9aeb…2729 | No | 4,000 | 78.1¢ | $3.45K | Proven+$2.98 per $100 · 2,738 bets |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | No | 3,995 | 86.0¢ | $3.44K | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 2,081 bets |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | No | 3,819 | 81.0¢ | $3.29K | Proven+$14.71 per $100 · 249 bets |
| Sauron19920xafdd…3d1a | No | 3,529 | 85.5¢ | $3.04K | Proven+$5.17 per $100 · 788 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 3,403 | 72.9¢ | $2.93K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 3,333 | 94.3¢ | $2.87K | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 489 bets |
| justtryingtosurvive0xdade…3639 | Yes | 18,520 | 21.2¢ | $2.56K | New8 settled bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 2,831 | 82.7¢ | $2.44K | Proven+$6.07 per $100 · 625 bets |
| CapricornShura0x92d9…4c5e | No | 2,442 | 85.5¢ | $2.1K | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 2,387 | 89.4¢ | $2.06K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 2,299 | 87.0¢ | $1.98K | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| ByTrade0x66e3…0fe8 | Yes | 13,626 | 7.3¢ | $1.88K | New0 settled bets |
| sebastianwallin0xc7c0…5957 | Yes | 13,360 | 11.2¢ | $1.84K | — |
| robsondif0xd5ac…a642 | Yes | 12,703 | 15.6¢ | $1.75K | — |
| elockt0x01da…ea89 | No | 2,000 | 84.0¢ | $1.72K | New61 settled bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 1,936 | 84.1¢ | $1.67K | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| Glome0xfcdb…c4ee | No | 1,774 | 94.1¢ | $1.53K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 2,651 bets |
| vyemfql0x5848…b529 | No | 1,750 | 89.3¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$12.63 per $100 · 203 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 10,571 | 3.8¢ | $1.46K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| Grodan0xaa9f…0df3 | Yes | 10,334 | 18.0¢ | $1.43K | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 408 bets |
| 0xf0df…69c5 | Yes | 9,832 | 15.1¢ | $1.36K | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 283 bets |
| 0x6918…782b | Yes | 9,580 | 31.9¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 2,540 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 1,522 | 83.0¢ | $1.31K | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| ratco12410xe410…8349 | Yes | 8,817 | 13.6¢ | $1.22K | — |
| frekvenz0x2025…0b79 | Yes | 8,747 | 12.2¢ | $1.21K | New41 settled bets |
| Tompatig0x1b59…3281 | Yes | 8,119 | 11.6¢ | $1.12K | New0 settled bets |
| diadjaid0x784f…5df9 | Yes | 6,917 | 12.9¢ | $955 | Positive+$4.39 per $100 · 527 bets |
| cgdg0x4f5b…c6b4 | Yes | 6,668 | 21.3¢ | $920 | New97 settled bets |
| 0x9ab30xa02e…8a3f | No | 1,054 | 95.0¢ | $909 | — |
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | No | 1,024 | 79.8¢ | $883 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 3,612 bets |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | No | 1,000 | 80.0¢ | $862 | Proven+$13.35 per $100 · 374 bets |
| 0x34a9…4cfd | No | 877 | 79.9¢ | $756 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 2,503 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 5,469 | 26.4¢ | $755 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| breakingcute0x7dff…1f35 | No | 812 | 89.8¢ | $700 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 636 bets |
| supremac10x3ac0…e529 | Yes | 5,037 | 15.9¢ | $695 | New3 settled bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No | 756 | 73.1¢ | $652 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| 0x282e…e8e6 | No | 707 | 83.3¢ | $609 | Proven+$4.65 per $100 · 115 bets |
| 0xd404…b4eb | Yes | 4,360 | 19.5¢ | $602 | — |
| Fredster10x743d…d263 | Yes | 4,339 | 11.9¢ | $599 | New9 settled bets |
| rpoy110x77be…d598 | Yes | 4,202 | 11.4¢ | $580 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | No | 647 | 94.1¢ | $558 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 6,536 bets |
| Denilzzon100x8ac9…92d3 | Yes | 4,001 | 35.6¢ | $552 | — |
| MisTKy0x35bb…009b | Yes | 3,924 | 18.1¢ | $542 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 1,168 bets |
| Sandcastle0x8e1e…aeac | Yes | 3,874 | 5.6¢ | $535 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 617 | 86.0¢ | $532 | — |
| momo5130xcdf8…b8ea | No | 600 | 92.1¢ | $518 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 704 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 588 | 89.2¢ | $507 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| madmartigan50xdd15…4a07 | Yes | 3,521 | 17.5¢ | $486 | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 209 bets |
| Arvid20xbdc2…0a7d | Yes | 3,472 | 21.1¢ | $479 | Losing−$13.92 per $100 · 110 bets |
| Lollan690x513a…4da5 | Yes | 3,388 | 16.9¢ | $468 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 500 | 95.1¢ | $431 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| PMTraderAdam0x1547…d066 | No | 500 | 73.0¢ | $431 | Proven+$2.64 per $100 · 1,415 bets |
| Schampagne0xc932…7277 | No | 500 | 79.7¢ | $431 | — |
| euro-catcher0xc2e5…b3a5 | Yes | 2,816 | 22.9¢ | $389 | Losing−$4.50 per $100 · 4,780 bets |
| Stormkorp0x0cf2…90a4 | No | 450 | 86.1¢ | $388 | New0 settled bets |
| TheNobleSavage0xe6f3…2568 | No | 443 | 82.6¢ | $382 | — |
| Tukituki0xdc75…e4bc | Yes | 2,713 | 21.6¢ | $374 | — |
| bobobang0x7da6…f0cd | Yes | 2,650 | 17.2¢ | $366 | New3 settled bets |
| Reformedx0x64c4…1018 | Yes | 2,647 | 21.6¢ | $365 | Proven+$2.04 per $100 · 1,403 bets |
| 0x6519…611b | No | 416 | 89.6¢ | $358 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 137 bets |
| asfern0x7112…7f0a | Yes | 2,500 | 16.8¢ | $345 | New2 settled bets |
| Jonas730xed1d…f2db | Yes | 2,452 | 4.7¢ | $338 | — |
| drbhdg0x2e8d…789f | No | 390 | 80.1¢ | $336 | New3 settled bets |
| infinitevanilla0x3c9a…6d6a | Yes | 2,400 | 9.9¢ | $331 | New16 settled bets |
| 0x815d…8648 | Yes | 2,396 | 15.2¢ | $331 | Losing−$12.16 per $100 · 131 bets |
| boring9990x2140…5790 | Yes | 2,382 | 10.4¢ | $329 | Proven+$7.89 per $100 · 270 bets |
| minap0x853d…94b5 | Yes | 2,370 | 10.0¢ | $327 | — |
| glatza0x07bc…aed7 | Yes | 2,346 | 16.7¢ | $324 | New0 settled bets |
| EUTradeComission0x1ab3…d96c | Yes | 2,341 | 21.7¢ | $323 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x60a7…4a91 | Yes | 2,317 | 18.0¢ | $320 | Losing−$47.00 per $100 · 163 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 371 | 86.3¢ | $320 | — |
| kjgyugy0xd8d5…8262 | No | 370 | 80.1¢ | $319 | — |
| dthdhyia0x225c…dfc5 | Yes | 2,300 | 20.5¢ | $317 | New3 settled bets |
| stoic-jang0x63d1…5083 | No | 361 | 80.6¢ | $311 | New40 settled bets |
| Adkxkrnfbr0xc663…8f41 | Yes | 2,200 | 13.2¢ | $304 | — |
| Salan0xfd50…6f97 | Yes | 2,187 | 20.3¢ | $302 | — |
| Fantisch0x6982…640f | Yes | 2,182 | 17.2¢ | $301 | New8 settled bets |
| OllonPiercing0xea80…516c | Yes | 2,132 | 8.4¢ | $294 | — |
| Corfitz0xecbb…8070 | Yes | 2,129 | 19.4¢ | $294 | — |
| ValdemarLundh0xd4dc…9980 | Yes | 2,109 | 11.4¢ | $291 | — |
| 0xc88b…1b1a | Yes | 2,071 | 14.6¢ | $286 | — |
| rhgdrtfhbdt0xe791…93d2 | No | 330 | 80.1¢ | $284 | — |
| 0xe605…ac5f | Yes | 2,000 | 10.3¢ | $276 | — |
| Fellang0xd30d…c0ca | Yes | 1,979 | 12.4¢ | $273 | — |
| Emeffeff0xc89f…695b | Yes | 761 | 25.0¢ | $105 | New80 settled bets |
| VolynMolfar0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | 55 | 89.0¢ | $47 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.