Market · 2 of 18 outcomes
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 69 | 46.3¢ | $46 | Losing−$8.21 per $100 · 84,469+ bets · updating |
| XSLAV0x1355…8c23 | Yes | 48 | 48.0¢ | $32 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 56 | 53.3¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| Jet90x8705…8354 | No | 50 | 52.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$8.39 per $100 · 490 bets |
| athinkingmeat0xfb6e…1aee | Yes | 23 | 42.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x030a…3d5c | Yes | 12 | 80.9¢ | $8 | — |
| AnToX1c0xcbb1…fbcd | No | 18 | 58.0¢ | $6 | — |
| odimgraf0xf0c3…68d9 | No | 14 | 13.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9a35…4d50 | No | 10 | 61.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Porsche7180x79e7…a190 | Yes | 5 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 5 | 17.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| 0xbb90…2335 | No | 6 | 14.0¢ | $2 | — |
| romanew-1-new0x7438…b741 | Yes | 3 | 24.3¢ | $2 | — |
| peachgoma0x2e3d…6aa1 | No | 5 | 57.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb565…d8ba | No | 5 | 62.0¢ | $2 | — |
| romanew-5-15p0x93e2…92b9 | Yes | 1 | 38.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Mr-guess0x140e…ea2f | No | 2 | 59.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.