Market · 1 of 18 outcomes
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 51 | 43.8¢ | $40 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| 0x2ecf…5522 | Yes | 18 | 40.0¢ | $14 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 50 |
| 56.0¢ |
| $11 |
| Proven+$8.39 per $100 · 490 bets |
| MillaCherry0xd148…5660 | Yes | 10 | 60.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x030a…3d5c | Yes | 8 | 76.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x2858…da85 | No | 20 | 33.0¢ | $4 | — |
| burningb130x977d…2ca8 | No | 11 | 55.0¢ | $2 | — |
| BayesianBadger0x21be…1b40 | Yes | 2 | 44.0¢ | $2 | — |
| XSLAV0x1355…8c23 | Yes | 2 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SubashChandraBose0xf01a…f231 | No | 5 | 60.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 1 | 45.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| 0xbb90…2335 | No | 5 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| erFiodena0x961b…2b00 | No | 1 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 13 shares each side · Show
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