Market · 1 of 20 outcomes
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromley860x0b65…293e | Yes | 382 | 98.5¢ | $380 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,103 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 101 | 42.9¢ | $100 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| dsjkfbc0xa075…3f32 | Yes | 39 | 98.7¢ | $39 | — |
| Dima790xdd5a…4d23 | Yes | 26 | 38.2¢ | $26 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 443 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 20 | 97.8¢ | $20 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 20 | 33.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| XSLAV0x1355…8c23 | Yes | 20 | 56.0¢ | $20 | — |
| etghzcer0x7b89…ddae | Yes | 19 | 38.0¢ | $19 | — |
| userxp0x08e5…5d30 | Yes | 10 | 49.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x030a…3d5c | Yes | 6 | 79.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x5ae3…2aeb | Yes | 5 | 34.0¢ | $5 | — |
| tatantus10x9096…0c08 | Yes | 5 | 98.2¢ | $5 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 3 | 34.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x0e86…8795 | No | 254 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| daviesluo0xa5be…116c | Yes | 1 | 44.2¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 116 | 46.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| Benuptoshenanigns0x224a…a677 | No | 42 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
| davcodav0x0195…e931 | No | 33 | 60.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbb90…2335 | No | 31 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ProphecyKing0x8eff…fb57 | No | 31 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SubashChandraBose0xf01a…f231 | No | 28 | 59.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LonelyScissors0x460b…9894 | No | 26 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| arb-dog00xeedb…59e5 | No | 20 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dakaz0xc6d1…0134 | No | 15 | 66.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6e68…1634 | No | 13 | 63.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TheMogger720x54fc…4330 | No | 13 | 53.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.40 per $100 · 709 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | No | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 7 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| 0xccd1…c7b6 | No | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 4 | 63.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 0 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mr-guess0x140e…ea2f | No | 2 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb9d2…4fb8 | No | 2 | 61.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Blueynbingo0x52aa…42a2 | No | 2 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| guwop-g0x9e43…17f6 | No | 1 | 71.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 1 | 63.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| erFiodena0x961b…2b00 | No | 1 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 0 | 62.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.