Market · 4 of 16 outcomes
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 1,777 | 92.6¢ | $1.68K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| tjhsefesx0xc214…186e | No | 403 | 94.0¢ | $381 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| xdrftcjgnhd0x8602…b07b |
| No |
| 385 |
| 94.0¢ |
| $364 |
| — |
| yukdreset0xaeef…1ba4 | No | 355 | 94.0¢ | $335 | — |
| tyjuyhufza0x3c99…f299 | No | 315 | 94.0¢ | $298 | — |
| jlkk.gygtfydr0x8712…9067 | No | 302 | 94.0¢ | $285 | — |
| rytjsrr0x31ce…67ea | No | 285 | 94.0¢ | $269 | — |
| dfdtsr0x6bdf…9f96 | No | 265 | 94.0¢ | $250 | — |
| 0x1dec…0f87 | No | 260 | 95.0¢ | $246 | — |
| tyrhsdfgsd0x2262…b2cf | No | 233 | 94.0¢ | $220 | — |
| 0xaf40…5662 | No | 206 | 94.2¢ | $195 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 151 | 92.0¢ | $143 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 111 | 94.5¢ | $105 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 1,581 | 6.8¢ | $87 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| thdesw0xe964…537f | Yes | 1,358 | 6.0¢ | $75 | — |
| 0x0a8c…a355 | Yes | 1,185 | 6.0¢ | $65 | — |
| FrozenTomato0x9d06…c4e8 | No | 69 | 91.1¢ | $65 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 57 | 92.4¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 54 | 93.5¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x8c9f…46af | No | 50 | 79.6¢ | $47 | — |
| ryansxlin950x4b41…652d | No | 43 | 94.0¢ | $40 | Losing−$6.64 per $100 · 101 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 42 | 95.0¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 660 | 6.0¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| Sourbreadfan0x0963…a13e | No | 34 | 94.0¢ | $32 | — |
| 0x160b…8f91 | No | 30 | 93.0¢ | $28 | — |
| DREAMBIG.0x9e8e…8db8 | No | 28 | 83.8¢ | $27 | Proven+$18.01 per $100 · 5,706 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 27 | 94.0¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| Fullvie0x6286…f59c | Yes | 396 | 6.0¢ | $22 | Proven+$5.57 per $100 · 576 bets |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 21 | 94.0¢ | $20 | — |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 20 | 94.0¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 3,461 bets |
| CavierLegacy0xafc9…9015 | No | 20 | 94.0¢ | $19 | — |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | No | 16 | 81.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 536 bets |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | No | 15 | 84.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 12 | 94.2¢ | $11 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 145 | 7.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 7.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| qcp140xa76b…8a50 | No | 6 | 85.6¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 98 | 18.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 5 | 86.7¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 90 | 10.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| lifeCreator30x526b…cdee | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| peakyman0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | 67 | 5.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Brindley0x70d7…47f1 | No | 4 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Lane10x2ab4…29fd | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Idle000x9197…f9b9 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Wyldet0x949c…4c8e | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Arlidge0xb23e…165d | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Leigh30x6b52…cc32 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Linton20xa40e…fda0 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Knight120xe857…5fcc | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Alkerton0x79d1…8698 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Bragge0xa555…b9ac | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Ling2230x1ca4…a466 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Ife20x63af…31ed | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Lindley220x90de…e3ac | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Knowles0x96fe…f9e4 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Kettle00x90de…2229 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Abrahams10xb9b5…70e0 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Baggaley0x4812…2ade | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 51 | 5.0¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 29 | 10.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 13 | 8.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 10,798 bets |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 8 | 22.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 5 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 0 | 7.1¢ | $0 | — |
| bilibobz0x6e81…864b | Yes | 0 | 10.2¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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