Market · 49 of 71 outcomes
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 2,435 | 87.2¢ | $2.36K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 1,323 | 87.2¢ | $1.28K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| flxbt0x0aaa…42ce | No | 1,140 | 87.8¢ | $1.1K | New3 settled bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | No | 788 | 89.4¢ | $764 | Proven+$2.53 per $100 · 1,508 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | No | 663 | 91.0¢ | $643 | — |
| sdiff1230xd352…4ad6 | No | 293 | 90.4¢ | $284 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 833 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 196 | 81.7¢ | $190 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,131 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 150 | 89.4¢ | $145 | Break-even+$0.22 per $100 · 579 bets |
| BTC011010x2cc2…a982 | No | 120 | 87.0¢ | $116 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 50 | 89.5¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,056 bets |
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc0x477a…2d8e | Yes | 1,196 | 13.3¢ | $37 | Losing−$2.91 per $100 · 916 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 37 | 88.0¢ | $36 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 35 | 87.0¢ | $33 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 30 | 87.0¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x548b…04e8 | Yes | 906 | 11.0¢ | $28 | — |
| enaich0x69d2…8c2f | Yes | 779 | 15.4¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.37 per $100 · 192 bets |
| johnnath12220x4b28…15df | No | 20 | 83.6¢ | $19 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 1,178 bets |
| Jaybe88880x232c…e6ff | Yes | 585 | 17.7¢ | $18 | — |
| Razirback0x92c7…c136 | Yes | 297 | 16.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.17 per $100 · 4,966 bets |
| johnessence0xafe1…7d0d | No | 9 | 89.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 253 | 7.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 222 | 15.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,990 bets |
| Jacobnzx0x64e7…99da | Yes | 214 | 14.0¢ | $7 | — |
| tekeoceyIII0x780a…a1eb | Yes | 213 | 16.4¢ | $7 | — |
| maRu1188770xcb99…15d6 | Yes | 200 | 10.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Igetlucky0xefd5…af20 | Yes | 200 | 20.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 194 | 8.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 192 | 7.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 190 | 11.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 0xb253…2d38 | No | 6 | 85.5¢ | $6 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 147 | 17.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| Zachattack5000x4cf2…e31c | Yes | 144 | 9.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 391 bets |
| E.T0x6b60…4007 | No | 4 | 91.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Xyzeric0xe5f5…9c9c | Yes | 128 | 9.3¢ | $4 | — |
| limearbs0xf331…7e96 | Yes | 115 | 14.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Pikache0xf78e…5dea | Yes | 90 | 0.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x3cff…6fbd | No | 3 | 86.0¢ | $3 | — |
| jimothybarron0xe776…ebf6 | Yes | 86 | 24.0¢ | $3 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 80 | 6.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Celestibus0xd4b1…9440 | Yes | 77 | 13.5¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 74 | 15.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| HexFragLord0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | 71 | 14.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$32.62 per $100 · 120 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 62 | 3.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$13.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 60 | 16.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| chamillion0x80ce…3809 | Yes | 55 | 14.5¢ | $2 | — |
| p271rpqc8e4w0xa075…ee53 | No | 2 | 86.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 53 | 6.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 50 | 1.3¢ | $2 | — |
| MMRamos12970x9ba0…f24d | Yes | 42 | 12.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,825 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 36 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| lovecraft-2250xdc4d…f2c9 | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3f8a…1e62 | Yes | 33 | 15.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 30 | 14.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Crocoflex0xcc38…5bb2 | Yes | 30 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 26 | 17.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 25 | 4.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$33.83 per $100 · 567 bets |
| 0x79b1…bf80 | Yes | 22 | 9.0¢ | $1 | New51 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 5.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 14 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x497f…73d5 | Yes | 14 | 15.5¢ | $0 | — |
| themanager0x2389…0f2d | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa98a…74b9 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Born2suffer0x3cc6…746c | Yes | 7 | 14.5¢ | $0 | — |
| degbetting0xbdf7…6bf8 | Yes | 7 | 14.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.0x2200…474f | Yes | 4 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 1 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 0x383c…325e | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| znqjv4sg0x6377…466d | No | 0 | 91.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 0 | 15.9¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.